UPBD

Upbound Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

UPBD's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow more than tripled, while its operating margin held steady at 5.5%. At 13x earnings, it's trading below its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

UPBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

UPBD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

UPBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE60x121x181x242x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE60x121x181x242x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.3x$23.88—
Cheap11x$21.16-11%
Current13x$23.88—
Fair15x$28.18+18%
Expensive31x$59.71+150%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UPBD's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UPBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect UPBD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

UPBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$32.47
Downside-21%$18.75

Calculated from the latest close: $23.88 on Nov 12.

UPBD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +36% against −21%.

UPBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-0.43Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $2.21Q1 2025: $2.13Q2 2025: $1.78Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $1.44Q2 2026: $1.55Q3 2026: $1.91Forward: $4.52
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-0.43Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $2.21Q1 2025: $2.13Q2 2025: $1.78Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $1.44Q2 2026: $1.55Q3 2026: $1.91Forward: $4.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.52+136%
Q3 2026$1.91+32%
Q2 2026$1.55-13%
Q1 2026$1.44-32%
Q4 2025$1.25-43%
Q3 2025$1.45-2%
Q2 2025$1.78+76%
Q1 2025$2.13+$2.56
Q4 2024$2.21+$2.30

UPBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.91 over the past year, against $3.86 in early 2020.

UPBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-1.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B+0.5%
Q1 2026$1.2B+3.7%
Q4 2025$1.2B+11%
Q3 2025$1.2B+9%
Q2 2025$1.2B+7.5%
Q1 2025$1.2B+7.3%
Q4 2024$1.1B+6%

UPBD's revenue has held roughly level: $1.1B last quarter, down 1.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

UPBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $613,000Q3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: −$74MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $147M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $613,000Q3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: −$74MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$147M+50%
Q2 2026$107.8M+$118.2M
Q1 2026$154.7M+22%
Q4 2025$24M+$98.1M
Q3 2025$97.9M+11%
Q2 2025-$10.4M-1802%
Q1 2025$127.2M+278%
Q4 2024-$74M-$37.1M

UPBD generated $434M in free cash flow over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before.

UPBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+59K shares
1 year-0.2%-123K shares
3 years+3.4%+1.9M shares
5 years-14%-9.4M shares
Available history+5%+2.8M shares

UPBD has 59M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UPBD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

UPBD has more cash than debt.

UPBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic86.5Overbought

UPBD's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

UPBD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUPBDSector medianRelative
PE13x28x55% below
PE %33352 pts below

UPBD is trading at 13x earnings, a 55% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

UPBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.728% above
20 week MA$19.224% above
50 week MA$19.125% above
100 week MA$21.710% above
200 week MA$26.28.9% below

UPBD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 8.9% below its 200-week average.

UPBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.5$38.2+34%
2021$38.2$48.1+26%
2022$48.1$22.6-53%
2023$22.6$34.0+50%
2024$34.0$29.2-14%
2025$29.2$17.6-40%
2026 YTD$17.6$23.9+36%

UPBD is up 36% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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