SNDK
Sandisk Corporation
SNDK has the edge over STM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
STM
STMicroelectronics N.V.
STM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SNDK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
STM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
STM's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
SNDK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 3.8x | $937 | — |
| Current | 7.5x | $937 | — |
| Cheap | 17x | $2,173 | +132% |
| Fair | 24x | $3,048 | +225% |
| Expensive | 59x | $7,452 | +695% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SNDK has the edge over STM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.6x | $5.40 | -88% |
| Fair | 21x | $11.96 | -74% |
| Expensive | 40x | $22.34 | -52% |
| Current | 83x | $46.46 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STM's PE is in its expensive range at 83x.
SNDK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNDK, with profitability improving.
STM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STM, with profitability improving.
SNDK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $247.30 | +97% |
| Q3 2026 | $125.61 | +$137.63 |
| Q2 2026 | $73.76 | +$85.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.31 | -$6.65 |
SNDK has the edge over STM in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
STM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | -1.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.51 | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.16 | -86% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.18 | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.57 | -77% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.68 | -79% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.17 | -70% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.65 | -63% |
STM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.56 over the past year, against $4.89 in early 2023.
SNDK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11B | +378% |
| Q2 2026 | $9B | +372% |
| Q1 2026 | $6B | +251% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +61% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3B | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -0.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +13% |
SNDK has the edge over STM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 80% | +72 points |
| Q2 2026 | 78% | +78 points |
| Q1 2026 | 69% | +180 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +25 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.6% | -9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.9% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | -111% | -122 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +6.6 points |
SNDK has the edge over STM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.8B | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8B | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | -22% |
STM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $3.8B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +5.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.3% | +7.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.2% | -4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.1% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9% | -13 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -13 points |
STM's operating margin was 11% last quarter, up 5.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SNDK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.3B | +1340% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +14355% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +$3B |
| Q3 2025 | $438M | +$636M |
| Q2 2025 | $49M | +$217M |
| Q1 2025 | -$18M | +$23M |
| Q3 2024 | -$198M | -$157M |
SNDK generated $17.4B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.
STM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$121.5M | +$139.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $155.5M | +$182.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$62.5K | -100% |
| Q3 2025 | $182.4M | +9019% |
| Q2 2025 | -$261M | -2275% |
| Q1 2025 | -$27M | +$108M |
| Q4 2024 | $65M | -83% |
| Q3 2024 | $2M | -100% |
STM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $216M over the past year, against −$221M the year before.
SNDK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | +3.4% | +5M shares |
| 3 years | +6.9% | +10M shares |
SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5B |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
STM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +3.7M shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +12.8M shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -12.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +8.9M shares |
| Available history | +2.4% | +21.7M shares |
STM has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $184M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $92M |
| Q1 2025 | $92M |
| Q4 2024 | $92M |
| Q3 2024 | $92M |
SNDK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
SNDK has the edge over STM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
STM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
STM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SNDK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.6 | Oversold |
SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
STM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.3 | Neutral |
STM's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
SNDK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SNDK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.5x | 28x | 73% below |
| PE % | 4 | 27 | 23 pts below |
SNDK has the edge over STM on valuation relative to its sector.
STM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 83x | 28x | 198% above |
| PE % | 90 | 35 | 55 pts above |
STM is trading at 83x earnings, a 198% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SNDK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,317.5 | 29% below |
| 20 week MA | $1,465.4 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $1,119.6 | 16% below |
STM has stronger trend alignment. SNDK is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus STM above 2 of 5.
STM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $48.2 | 3.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.8 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $46.8 | 0.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.2 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $39.0 | 19% above |
STM has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.
SNDK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $50.4 | $250.1 | +396% |
| 2026 YTD | $250.1 | $937.5 | +275% |
SNDK has the edge over STM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
STM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.1 | $36.9 | +36% |
| 2021 | $36.9 | $48.6 | +32% |
| 2022 | $48.6 | $35.9 | -26% |
| 2023 | $35.9 | $50.1 | +40% |
| 2024 | $50.1 | $25.5 | -49% |
| 2025 | $25.5 | $26.2 | +3% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.2 | $46.5 | +77% |
STM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 77% so far in 2026.