STM

STMicroelectronics N.V.

61
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

STM's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 83x earnings, about four times its usual 22x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

STM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

STM's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

STM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE127x255x382x510x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE127x255x382x510x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.6x$5.40-88%
Fair21x$11.96-74%
Expensive40x$22.34-52%
Current83x$46.46—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STM's PE is in its expensive range at 83x.

STM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STM, with profitability improving.

STM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$75.50
Downside-20%$37.38

Calculated from the latest close: $46.46 on Nov 12.

STM's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +63% against −20%.

STM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.45Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.43Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $0.68Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.56
Q4 2023: $4.45Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.43Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $0.68Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.56-1.8%
Q2 2026$0.51-25%
Q1 2026$0.16-86%
Q4 2025$0.18-89%
Q3 2025$0.57-77%
Q2 2025$0.68-79%
Q1 2025$1.17-70%
Q4 2024$1.65-63%

STM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.56 over the past year, against $4.89 in early 2023.

STM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+18%
Q2 2026$3.5B+24%
Q1 2026$3.1B+23%
Q4 2025$3.3B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.2B-2.4%
Q2 2025$2.8B-13%
Q1 2025$2.5B-27%
Q4 2024$3.3B-22%

STM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $3.8B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

STM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: −$135MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: −$261MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: −$62,480Q1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: −$135MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: −$261MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: −$62,480Q1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$121.5M+$139.5M
Q1 2026$155.5M+$182.5M
Q4 2025-$62.5K-100%
Q3 2025$182.4M+9019%
Q2 2025-$261M-2275%
Q1 2025-$27M+$108M
Q4 2024$65M-83%
Q3 2024$2M-100%

STM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $216M over the past year, against −$221M the year before.

STM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 943MQ1 2024: 942MQ2 2024: 941MQ3 2024: 939MQ4 2024: 936MQ1 2025: 934MQ2 2025: 894MQ3 2025: 919MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 925MQ2 2026: 928MQ3 2026: 932M
Q4 2023: 943MQ1 2024: 942MQ2 2024: 941MQ3 2024: 939MQ4 2024: 936MQ1 2025: 934MQ2 2025: 894MQ3 2025: 919MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 925MQ2 2026: 928MQ3 2026: 932M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+3.7M shares
1 year+1.4%+12.8M shares
3 years-1.3%-12.1M shares
5 years+1%+8.9M shares
Available history+2.4%+21.7M shares

STM has 932M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

STM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

STM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

STM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.7Neutral
Stochastic22.3Neutral

STM's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

STM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSTMSector medianRelative
PE83x28x198% above
PE %903555 pts above

STM is trading at 83x earnings, a 198% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

STM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.23.6% below
20 week MA$52.812% below
50 week MA$46.80.6% below
100 week MA$36.228% above
200 week MA$39.019% above

STM has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

STM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.1$36.9+36%
2021$36.9$48.6+32%
2022$48.6$35.9-26%
2023$35.9$50.1+40%
2024$50.1$25.5-49%
2025$25.5$26.2+3%
2026 YTD$26.2$46.5+77%

STM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 77% so far in 2026.

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