SMBC

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SMBC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over SMBC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SMBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SMBC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SMBC.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

SMBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$61.53-13%
Current10x$70.94—
Fair11x$71.38+0.6%
Forward11x$70.94—
Expensive12x$81.29+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMBC's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over SMBC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SMBC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMBC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over SMBC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

SMBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$86.50
Downside-14%$60.98

Calculated from the latest close: $70.94 on Nov 12.

SMBC trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMBC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.82Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $4.41Q3 2024: $4.35Q4 2024: $4.58Q1 2025: $4.98Q2 2025: $5.18Q3 2025: $5.46Q4 2025: $5.78Q1 2026: $5.99Q2 2026: $6.43Q3 2026: $6.78Forward: $6.69
Q4 2023: $3.82Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $4.41Q3 2024: $4.35Q4 2024: $4.58Q1 2025: $4.98Q2 2025: $5.18Q3 2025: $5.46Q4 2025: $5.78Q1 2026: $5.99Q2 2026: $6.43Q3 2026: $6.78Forward: $6.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.69-1.3%
Q3 2026$6.78+24%
Q2 2026$6.43+24%
Q1 2026$5.99+20%
Q4 2025$5.78+26%
Q3 2025$5.46+26%
Q2 2025$5.18+17%
Q1 2025$4.98+8.5%
Q4 2024$4.58+20%

SMBC has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

SMBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$53.1M+8.4%
Q2 2026$51.8M+8.7%
Q1 2026$50.2M+8.9%
Q4 2025$49.6M+10%
Q3 2025$49M+12%
Q2 2025$47.6M+11%
Q1 2025$46.1M+15%
Q4 2024$45M+12%

SMBC's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $53M last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over SMBC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SMBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$19.6M+27%
Q2 2026$12.5M-52%
Q1 2026$28.5M+26%
Q4 2025$20.2M+11%
Q3 2025$15.4M+80%
Q2 2025$25.8M+94%
Q1 2025$22.7M+16%
Q4 2024$18.2M+17%

SMBC has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

SMBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-119K shares
1 year-2.3%-260K shares
3 years-2.5%-286K shares
5 years+24%+2.1M shares
Available history+20%+1.8M shares

SMBC has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

SMBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: 11.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: 8.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 10.1xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: 11.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: 8.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 10.1xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 202610.1xHigh
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20258.2xHigh
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

SMBC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SMBC.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over SMBC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SMBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic21.8Neutral

SMBC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SMBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSMBCSector medianRelative
PE10x13x20% below
PE %476316 pts below

SMBC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SMBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.10.3% below
20 week MA$73.73.7% below
50 week MA$68.53.6% above
100 week MA$61.515% above
200 week MA$53.832% above

SMBC has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

SMBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.2$31.3-18%
2021$31.3$50.4+61%
2022$50.4$46.0-8.8%
2023$46.0$53.4+16%
2024$53.4$57.8+8.3%
2025$57.8$60.4+4.4%
2026 YTD$60.4$70.9+18%

SMBC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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