SMBC

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SMBC's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 3 points to 45% and earnings per share grew 24%. At 10x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SMBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SMBC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SMBC.

SMBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x7.9x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$61.53-13%
Current10x$70.94—
Fair11x$71.38+0.6%
Forward11x$70.94—
Expensive12x$81.29+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMBC's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

SMBC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMBC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SMBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$86.50
Downside-14%$60.98

Calculated from the latest close: $70.94 on Nov 12.

SMBC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +22% against −14%.

SMBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.82Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $4.41Q3 2024: $4.35Q4 2024: $4.58Q1 2025: $4.98Q2 2025: $5.18Q3 2025: $5.46Q4 2025: $5.78Q1 2026: $5.99Q2 2026: $6.43Q3 2026: $6.78Forward: $6.69
Q4 2023: $3.82Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $4.41Q3 2024: $4.35Q4 2024: $4.58Q1 2025: $4.98Q2 2025: $5.18Q3 2025: $5.46Q4 2025: $5.78Q1 2026: $5.99Q2 2026: $6.43Q3 2026: $6.78Forward: $6.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.69-1.3%
Q3 2026$6.78+24%
Q2 2026$6.43+24%
Q1 2026$5.99+20%
Q4 2025$5.78+26%
Q3 2025$5.46+26%
Q2 2025$5.18+17%
Q1 2025$4.98+8.5%
Q4 2024$4.58+20%

SMBC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.78 over the past year, up 24% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

SMBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$53.1M+8.4%
Q2 2026$51.8M+8.7%
Q1 2026$50.2M+8.9%
Q4 2025$49.6M+10%
Q3 2025$49M+12%
Q2 2025$47.6M+11%
Q1 2025$46.1M+15%
Q4 2024$45M+12%

SMBC's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $53M last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$19.6M+27%
Q2 2026$12.5M-52%
Q1 2026$28.5M+26%
Q4 2025$20.2M+11%
Q3 2025$15.4M+80%
Q2 2025$25.8M+94%
Q1 2025$22.7M+16%
Q4 2024$18.2M+17%

SMBC's free cash flow was $81M over the past year, down 1.6% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SMBC.

SMBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-119K shares
1 year-2.3%-260K shares
3 years-2.5%-286K shares
5 years+24%+2.1M shares
Available history+20%+1.8M shares

SMBC has 11M diluted shares, down 2.3% from a year ago.

SMBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: 11.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: 8.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 10.1xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: 11.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: 8.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 10.1xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 202610.1xHigh
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20258.2xHigh
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

SMBC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SMBC.

SMBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic21.8Neutral

SMBC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

SMBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSMBCSector medianRelative
PE10x13x20% below
PE %476316 pts below

SMBC is trading at 10x earnings, a 20% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SMBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.10.3% below
20 week MA$73.73.7% below
50 week MA$68.53.6% above
100 week MA$61.515% above
200 week MA$53.832% above

SMBC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 32% above its 200-week average.

SMBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.2$31.3-18%
2021$31.3$50.4+61%
2022$50.4$46.0-8.8%
2023$46.0$53.4+16%
2024$53.4$57.8+8.3%
2025$57.8$60.4+4.4%
2026 YTD$60.4$70.9+18%

SMBC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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