SIGI
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
SIGI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over SIGI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SIGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SIGI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SIGI.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
SIGI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $98.60 | -4.6% |
| Current | 12x | $103 | — |
| Forward | 12x | $103 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $140 | +36% |
| Expensive | 24x | $202 | +95% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SIGI's PE is in its cheap range at 12.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.5x next year's earnings.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over SIGI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SIGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SIGI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over SIGI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SIGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.96 | +7.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.32 | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.06 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.31 | +99% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.49 | +132% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.50 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.12 | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.68 | -35% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.23 | -45% |
SIGI has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
SIGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +4.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +5.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +9.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +13% |
SIGI's revenue has held roughly level: $1.3B last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.1% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.5% | -4.7 points |
SIGI's operating margin was 12% last quarter, up 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over SIGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over SIGI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SIGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $347M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $214.9M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $210.5M | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $366.3M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $397.3M | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $159.7M | -38% |
| Q1 2025 | $271M | +151% |
| Q4 2024 | $324.7M | +42% |
SIGI has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
SIGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -329K shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -1.2M shares |
| 3 years | -1.9% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -0.4% | -271K shares |
| Available history | -0.3% | -151K shares |
SIGI has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $35M |
| Q4 2025 | $30.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $36.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $258,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $25.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $81,000 |
SIGI spent $153M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 147% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
SIGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
SIGI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SIGI.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over SIGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SIGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.0 | Overbought |
SIGI's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
SIGI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SIGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 4.6% below |
| PE % | 23 | 63 | 40 pts below |
SIGI has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SIGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $92.9 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $93.5 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $87.8 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $86.1 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $92.1 | 12% above |
SIGI has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
SIGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.8 | $66.9 | +3.2% |
| 2021 | $66.9 | $79.6 | +19% |
| 2022 | $79.6 | $90.9 | +14% |
| 2023 | $90.9 | $99.5 | +9.5% |
| 2024 | $99.5 | $93.8 | -5.7% |
| 2025 | $93.8 | $84.0 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $84.0 | $103.4 | +23% |
SIGI has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.