SIGI

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.

65
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

SIGI's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 12x earnings, below its usual 17x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

SIGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SIGI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SIGI.

SIGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$98.60-4.6%
Current12x$103—
Forward12x$103—
Fair17x$140+36%
Expensive24x$202+95%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SIGI's PE is in its cheap range at 12.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.5x next year's earnings.

SIGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SIGI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

SIGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$127.16
Downside-11%$92.43

Calculated from the latest close: $103.36 on Nov 12.

SIGI's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +23% against −11%.

SIGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.84Q1 2024: $5.67Q2 2024: $3.67Q3 2024: $3.72Q4 2024: $3.23Q1 2025: $3.68Q2 2025: $6.12Q3 2025: $6.50Q4 2025: $7.49Q1 2026: $7.31Q2 2026: $8.06Q3 2026: $8.32Forward: $8.96
Q4 2023: $5.84Q1 2024: $5.67Q2 2024: $3.67Q3 2024: $3.72Q4 2024: $3.23Q1 2025: $3.68Q2 2025: $6.12Q3 2025: $6.50Q4 2025: $7.49Q1 2026: $7.31Q2 2026: $8.06Q3 2026: $8.32Forward: $8.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.96+7.7%
Q3 2026$8.32+28%
Q2 2026$8.06+32%
Q1 2026$7.31+99%
Q4 2025$7.49+132%
Q3 2025$6.50+75%
Q2 2025$6.12+67%
Q1 2025$3.68-35%
Q4 2024$3.23-45%

SIGI earned $8.32 per share over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

SIGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B-2.5%
Q2 2026$1.4B+4.5%
Q1 2026$1.4B+5.7%
Q4 2025$1.4B+8.6%
Q3 2025$1.4B+9.3%
Q2 2025$1.3B+11%
Q1 2025$1.3B+10%
Q4 2024$1.3B+13%

SIGI's revenue has held roughly level: $1.3B last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

SIGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $271MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $366MQ1 2026: $211MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $347M
Q4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $271MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $366MQ1 2026: $211MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $347M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$347M-13%
Q2 2026$214.9M+35%
Q1 2026$210.5M-22%
Q4 2025$366.3M+13%
Q3 2025$397.3M+5.1%
Q2 2025$159.7M-38%
Q1 2025$271M+151%
Q4 2024$324.7M+42%

SIGI's free cash flow was $1.1B over the past year, down 1.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SIGI.

SIGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 61MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 61MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-329K shares
1 year-1.9%-1.2M shares
3 years-1.9%-1.2M shares
5 years-0.4%-271K shares
Available history-0.3%-151K shares

SIGI has 60M diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $153M in buybacks over the past year.

SIGI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.0xVery low
Q2 2025-0.0xVery low
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

SIGI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SIGI.

SIGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic83.0Overbought

SIGI's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

SIGI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSIGISector medianRelative
PE12x13x4.6% below
PE %236340 pts below

SIGI is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SIGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.911% above
20 week MA$93.510% above
50 week MA$87.818% above
100 week MA$86.120% above
200 week MA$92.112% above

SIGI has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 12% above its 200-week average.

SIGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.8$66.9+3.2%
2021$66.9$79.6+19%
2022$79.6$90.9+14%
2023$90.9$99.5+9.5%
2024$99.5$93.8-5.7%
2025$93.8$84.0-10%
2026 YTD$84.0$103.4+23%

SIGI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 23% so far in 2026.

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