SAFT

Safety Insurance Group, Inc.

42
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SAFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over SAFT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SAFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

SAFT's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SAFT.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

SAFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x67x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x67x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$47.86-54%
Fair16x$76.71-26%
Current22x$104—
Expensive24x$116+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAFT's PE is in its expensive range at 22x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over SAFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SAFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SAFT to show an outlook.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

SAFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$115.90
Downside-16%$88.13

Calculated from the latest close: $104.34 on Nov 12.

SAFT trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.46Q3 2024: $5.06Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $5.72Q3 2025: $5.90Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $4.23Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.78
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.46Q3 2024: $5.06Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $5.72Q3 2025: $5.90Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $4.23Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.78-19%
Q2 2026$4.64-19%
Q1 2026$4.23-14%
Q4 2025$6.70+40%
Q3 2025$5.90+17%
Q2 2025$5.72+65%
Q1 2025$4.90+41%
Q4 2024$4.78+273%

SAFT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.78 over the past year, against $11.71 in early 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

SAFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $268MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $301MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $268MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $301MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$327.8M+0.4%
Q2 2026$325.7M+3%
Q1 2026$314.7M+4.4%
Q4 2025$319.3M+11%
Q3 2025$326.6M+11%
Q2 2025$316.3M+17%
Q1 2025$301.4M+12%
Q4 2024$286.7M+11%

SAFT's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $328M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over SAFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SAFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.7M-34%
Q2 2026$37.7M+17%
Q1 2026-$18.9M-764%
Q4 2025$71.4M+42%
Q3 2025$85.5M+17%
Q2 2025$32.3M+29%
Q1 2025$2.8M+$27M
Q4 2024$50.3M+45%

SAFT has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

SAFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+35.3K shares
1 year-1.3%-185K shares
3 years-0.6%-88.5K shares
5 years-3.2%-486K shares
Available history-4.9%-744K shares

SAFT has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

SAFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

SAFT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SAFT.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over SAFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SAFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI77.5Overbought
Stochastic81.8Overbought

SAFT's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SAFT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSAFTSector medianRelative
PE22x13x68% above
PE %68635 pts above

SAFT has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SAFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.00.3% above
20 week MA$99.54.9% above
50 week MA$84.823% above
100 week MA$80.430% above
200 week MA$79.132% above

SAFT has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

SAFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.5$77.8-16%
2021$77.8$82.1+5.5%
2022$82.1$88.8+8.1%
2023$88.8$76.0-14%
2024$76.0$82.0+7.9%
2025$82.0$78.4-4.3%
2026 YTD$78.4$104.3+33%

SAFT has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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