SAFT

Safety Insurance Group, Inc.

42
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SAFT's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 22x earnings, above its usual 16x.

SAFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

SAFT's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SAFT.

SAFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x67x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x67x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$47.86-54%
Fair16x$76.71-26%
Current22x$104—
Expensive24x$116+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAFT's PE is in its expensive range at 22x.

SAFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SAFT to show an outlook.

SAFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$115.90
Downside-16%$88.13

Calculated from the latest close: $104.34 on Nov 12.

SAFT's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −16% against +11%.

SAFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.46Q3 2024: $5.06Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $5.72Q3 2025: $5.90Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $4.23Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.78
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.46Q3 2024: $5.06Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $5.72Q3 2025: $5.90Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $4.23Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.78-19%
Q2 2026$4.64-19%
Q1 2026$4.23-14%
Q4 2025$6.70+40%
Q3 2025$5.90+17%
Q2 2025$5.72+65%
Q1 2025$4.90+41%
Q4 2024$4.78+273%

SAFT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.78 over the past year, against $11.71 in early 2021.

SAFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $268MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $301MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $268MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $301MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$327.8M+0.4%
Q2 2026$325.7M+3%
Q1 2026$314.7M+4.4%
Q4 2025$319.3M+11%
Q3 2025$326.6M+11%
Q2 2025$316.3M+17%
Q1 2025$301.4M+12%
Q4 2024$286.7M+11%

SAFT's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $328M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SAFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.7M-34%
Q2 2026$37.7M+17%
Q1 2026-$18.9M-764%
Q4 2025$71.4M+42%
Q3 2025$85.5M+17%
Q2 2025$32.3M+29%
Q1 2025$2.8M+$27M
Q4 2024$50.3M+45%

SAFT's free cash flow was $147M over the past year, down 14% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SAFT.

SAFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+35.3K shares
1 year-1.3%-185K shares
3 years-0.6%-88.5K shares
5 years-3.2%-486K shares
Available history-4.9%-744K shares

SAFT has 15M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.

SAFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

SAFT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SAFT.

SAFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI77.5Overbought
Stochastic81.8Overbought

SAFT's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

SAFT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSAFTSector medianRelative
PE22x13x68% above
PE %68635 pts above

SAFT is trading at 22x earnings, a 68% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SAFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.00.3% above
20 week MA$99.54.9% above
50 week MA$84.823% above
100 week MA$80.430% above
200 week MA$79.132% above

SAFT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 200-week average.

SAFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.5$77.8-16%
2021$77.8$82.1+5.5%
2022$82.1$88.8+8.1%
2023$88.8$76.0-14%
2024$76.0$82.0+7.9%
2025$82.0$78.4-4.3%
2026 YTD$78.4$104.3+33%

SAFT is up 33% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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