RXO

RXO, Inc.

56
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

RXO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over RXO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RXO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

RXO's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

RXO PE Valuation

RXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 54x next year's earnings.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

RXO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RXO to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

RXO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$47.68
Downside-40%$17.06

Calculated from the latest close: $28.30 on Nov 12.

RXO trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RXO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RXO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.10Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.21Q3 2025: $-0.48Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.62Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $0.52
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.10Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.21Q3 2025: $-0.48Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.62Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $0.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.52—
Q3 2026-$0.52-$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.62+$1.59
Q1 2026-$0.62+$1.60
Q4 2025-$0.59+$1.58
Q3 2025-$0.48+$1.51
Q2 2025-$2.21-$2.02
Q1 2025-$2.22-$2.12
Q4 2024-$2.17-7333%

RXO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $2.22 at its worst in early 2025.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over RXO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RXO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $978MQ1 2024: $913MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $978MQ1 2024: $913MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+32%
Q2 2026$1.8B+25%
Q1 2026$1.4B-0.6%
Q4 2025$1.5B-12%
Q3 2025$1.4B+37%
Q2 2025$1.4B+53%
Q1 2025$1.4B+57%
Q4 2024$1.7B+70%

RXO's revenue is growing: $1.9B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.3B last quarter, up 61% from the same quarter a year ago.

RXO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$52MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$52MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12M+33%
Q2 2026-$52M-678%
Q1 2026-$24M-$7M
Q4 2025-$9M+$10M
Q3 2025$9M+$27M
Q2 2025$9M+$25M
Q1 2025-$17M-$13M
Q4 2024-$19M-2000%

RXO's free cash flow was −$73M over the past year, against −$18M the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over RXO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RXO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 169MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 172M
Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 169MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 172M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+2.4M shares
1 year+2%+3.4M shares
3 years+47%+55M shares
5 years+49%+56.9M shares

RXO has 172M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over RXO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RXO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 10.7xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 9.2xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 10.5xQ1 2026: 12.9xQ2 2026: 16.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 10.7xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 9.2xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 10.5xQ1 2026: 12.9xQ2 2026: 16.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 202616.0xHigh
Q1 202612.9xHigh
Q4 202510.5xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20259.2xHigh
Q1 202513.4xHigh
Q4 202410.7xHigh

RXO's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.3 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over RXO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RXO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.7Neutral
Stochastic85.5Overbought

RXO's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RXO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRXOSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

RXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RXO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.66.3% above
20 week MA$24.615% above
50 week MA$20.438% above
100 week MA$18.949% above
200 week MA$20.637% above

RXO has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

RXO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$21.5$16.3-24%
2023$16.3$23.3+43%
2024$23.3$24.4+4.7%
2025$24.4$12.7-48%
2026 YTD$12.7$28.3+123%

RXO has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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