RXO

RXO, Inc.

56
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

RXO lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

RXO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

RXO's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RXO PE Valuation

RXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 54x next year's earnings.

RXO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RXO to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RXO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$47.68
Downside-40%$17.06

Calculated from the latest close: $28.30 on Nov 12.

RXO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +68% against −40%.

RXO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.10Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.21Q3 2025: $-0.48Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.62Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $0.52
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.10Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.21Q3 2025: $-0.48Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.62Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $0.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.52—
Q3 2026-$0.52-$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.62+$1.59
Q1 2026-$0.62+$1.60
Q4 2025-$0.59+$1.58
Q3 2025-$0.48+$1.51
Q2 2025-$2.21-$2.02
Q1 2025-$2.22-$2.12
Q4 2024-$2.17-7333%

RXO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $2.22 at its worst in early 2025.

RXO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $978MQ1 2024: $913MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $978MQ1 2024: $913MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+32%
Q2 2026$1.8B+25%
Q1 2026$1.4B-0.6%
Q4 2025$1.5B-12%
Q3 2025$1.4B+37%
Q2 2025$1.4B+53%
Q1 2025$1.4B+57%
Q4 2024$1.7B+70%

RXO's revenue is growing: $1.9B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

RXO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$52MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$52MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12M+33%
Q2 2026-$52M-678%
Q1 2026-$24M-$7M
Q4 2025-$9M+$10M
Q3 2025$9M+$27M
Q2 2025$9M+$25M
Q1 2025-$17M-$13M
Q4 2024-$19M-2000%

RXO's free cash flow was −$73M over the past year, against −$18M the year before.

RXO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 169MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 172M
Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 169MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 172M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+2.4M shares
1 year+2%+3.4M shares
3 years+47%+55M shares
5 years+49%+56.9M shares

RXO has 172M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

RXO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 10.7xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 9.2xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 10.5xQ1 2026: 12.9xQ2 2026: 16.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 10.7xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 9.2xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 10.5xQ1 2026: 12.9xQ2 2026: 16.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 202616.0xHigh
Q1 202612.9xHigh
Q4 202510.5xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20259.2xHigh
Q1 202513.4xHigh
Q4 202410.7xHigh

RXO's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.3 years a year ago.

RXO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.7Neutral
Stochastic85.5Overbought

RXO's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

RXO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRXOSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

RXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RXO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.66.3% above
20 week MA$24.615% above
50 week MA$20.438% above
100 week MA$18.949% above
200 week MA$20.637% above

RXO has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 37% above its 200-week average.

RXO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$21.5$16.3-24%
2023$16.3$23.3+43%
2024$23.3$24.4+4.7%
2025$24.4$12.7-48%
2026 YTD$12.7$28.3+123%

RXO is up 123% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in two of the previous four years.

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