RWAY

Runway Growth Finance Corp.

38
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

RWAY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over RWAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RWAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

RWAY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RWAY.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

RWAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$6.66—
Cheap6.4x$1.02-85%
Fair11x$1.76-74%
Expensive15x$2.45-63%
Current42x$6.66—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over RWAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RWAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RWAY, but weaker profitability.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over RWAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

RWAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$8.69
Downside-23%$5.14

Calculated from the latest close: $6.66 on Nov 12.

RWAY trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RWAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RWAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.35+745%
Q3 2026$0.16-89%
Q2 2026$0.12-94%
Q1 2026-$0.08-105%
Q4 2025$0.93-51%
Q3 2025$1.45+41%
Q2 2025$1.88+151%
Q1 2025$1.64+50%
Q4 2024$1.89+73%

RWAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $1.89 in late 2024.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over RWAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RWAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$3.2M-64%
Q1 2022$5.7M-49%
Q4 2021$20.9M-6.4%
Q3 2021$13.1M+7.2%
Q2 2021$9M-39%
Q1 2021$11.3M+267%

SOFI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 64% for RWAY versus up 44% for SOFI.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

RWAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$150.2M+63%
Q2 2026-$194.3M-$194.1M
Q1 2026$5.9M-92%
Q4 2025$20.6M+49%
Q3 2025$92.4M+257%
Q2 2025-$297K+$38.3M
Q1 2025$73.6M+7.2%
Q4 2024$13.9M+$75.5M

RWAY has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

RWAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-188K shares
1 year+16%+5.7M shares
3 years+3.4%+1.4M shares
5 years+26%+8.7M shares
Available history+1.2%+506K shares

RWAY has 42M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over RWAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RWAY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20225.4xHigh
Q1 20223.1xElevated
Q4 20211.5xHealthy
Q3 20211.7xHealthy
Q2 20212.4xModerate
Q1 20212.5xModerate

RWAY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

RWAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

RWAY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

RWAY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRWAYSector medianRelative
PE42x13x220% above
PE %946430 pts above

RWAY is trading at 42x earnings, a 220% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI has the edge over RWAY on valuation relative to its sector.

RWAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.551.7% above
20 week MA$6.335.2% above
50 week MA$7.065.7% below
100 week MA$8.7424% below
200 week MA$10.436% below

RWAY has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

RWAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.5$13.4+7.3%
2022$13.4$12.2-9.4%
2023$12.2$12.6+3.6%
2024$12.6$10.9-13%
2025$10.9$8.93-18%
2026 YTD$8.93$6.66-25%

RWAY has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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