RWAY

Runway Growth Finance Corp.

38
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

RWAY's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 42x earnings, about four times its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

RWAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

RWAY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RWAY.

RWAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5x$6.66—
Cheap6.4x$1.02-85%
Fair11x$1.76-74%
Expensive15x$2.45-63%
Current42x$6.66—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.0x, in its cheap range.

RWAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RWAY's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

RWAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$8.69
Downside-23%$5.14

Calculated from the latest close: $6.66 on Nov 12.

RWAY's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +30% against −23%.

RWAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.34
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.34+740%
Q3 2026$0.16-89%
Q2 2026$0.12-94%
Q1 2026-$0.08-105%
Q4 2025$0.93-51%
Q3 2025$1.45+41%
Q2 2025$1.88+151%
Q1 2025$1.64+50%
Q4 2024$1.89+73%

RWAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $1.89 in late 2024.

RWAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$3.2M-64%
Q1 2022$5.7M-49%
Q4 2021$20.9M-6.4%
Q3 2021$13.1M+7.2%
Q2 2021$9M-39%
Q1 2021$11.3M+267%

RWAY's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3M last quarter, down 64% from the same quarter a year ago.

RWAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$150.2M+63%
Q2 2026-$194.3M-$194.1M
Q1 2026$5.9M-92%
Q4 2025$20.6M+49%
Q3 2025$92.4M+257%
Q2 2025-$297K+$38.3M
Q1 2025$73.6M+7.2%
Q4 2024$13.9M+$75.5M

RWAY's free cash flow was −$18M over the past year, against $180M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

RWAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-188K shares
1 year+16%+5.7M shares
3 years+3.4%+1.4M shares
5 years+26%+8.7M shares
Available history+1.2%+506K shares

RWAY has 42M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

RWAY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20225.4xHigh
Q1 20223.1xElevated
Q4 20211.5xHealthy
Q3 20211.7xHealthy
Q2 20212.4xModerate
Q1 20212.5xModerate

RWAY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

RWAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

RWAY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

RWAY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRWAYSector medianRelative
PE42x13x220% above
PE %946430 pts above

RWAY is trading at 42x earnings, a 220% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RWAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.551.7% above
20 week MA$6.335.2% above
50 week MA$7.065.7% below
100 week MA$8.7424% below
200 week MA$10.436% below

RWAY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.

RWAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.5$13.4+7.3%
2022$13.4$12.2-9.4%
2023$12.2$12.6+3.6%
2024$12.6$10.9-13%
2025$10.9$8.93-18%
2026 YTD$8.93$6.66-25%

RWAY has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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