ROST

Ross Stores, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

ROST has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ROST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ROST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ROST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$178-25%
Fair25x$210-12%
Forward27x$237—
Current29x$237—
Expensive35x$286+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROST has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ROST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

ROST has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ROST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$291.87
Downside-10%$212.96

Calculated from the latest close: $237.24 on Nov 12.

ROST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails ROST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.78+6.3%
Q3 2026$8.26+31%
Q2 2026$7.16+13%
Q1 2026$6.61+4.6%
Q4 2025$6.40+0.8%
Q3 2025$6.30+1.6%
Q2 2025$6.33+6.7%
Q1 2025$6.32+14%
Q4 2024$6.35+26%

ROST has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

ROST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+13%
Q2 2026$6B+21%
Q1 2026$6.6B+12%
Q4 2025$5.6B+10%
Q3 2025$5.5B+4.6%
Q2 2025$5B+2.6%
Q1 2025$5.9B-1.8%
Q4 2024$5.1B+3%

ROST has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ROST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$624.5M+34%
Q2 2026$627.1M+210%
Q1 2026$920.8M+36%
Q4 2025$617.8M+86%
Q3 2025$466.6M+18%
Q2 2025$202.3M-13%
Q1 2025$676.6M-6.9%
Q4 2024$333M+22%

ROST has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

ROST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.6%-5.3M shares
3 years-5.5%-18.5M shares
5 years-10%-35.5M shares
Available history-11%-39.8M shares

ROST has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ROST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ROST has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over ROST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ROST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

ROST's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

ROST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricROSTSector medianRelative
PE29x18x59% above
PE %684721 pts above

ROST has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ROST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$231.22.6% above
20 week MA$233.31.7% above
50 week MA$218.38.7% above
100 week MA$181.331% above
200 week MA$155.353% above

ROST is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 53% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

ROST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$115.0$118.0+2.7%
2021$118.0$110.2-6.7%
2022$110.2$115.5+4.8%
2023$115.5$138.4+20%
2024$138.4$153.0+11%
2025$153.0$181.1+18%
2026 YTD$181.1$237.2+31%

ROST has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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