ROST

Ross Stores, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

ROST's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 14% and free cash flow grew 66%. At 29x earnings, it's trading above its usual 25x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ROST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ROST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ROST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$178-25%
Fair25x$210-12%
Forward27x$237—
Current29x$237—
Expensive35x$286+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROST's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ROST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ROST, with profitability improving.

ROST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$291.87
Downside-10%$212.96

Calculated from the latest close: $237.24 on Nov 12.

ROST's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +23% against −10%.

ROST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.78+6.3%
Q3 2026$8.26+31%
Q2 2026$7.16+13%
Q1 2026$6.61+4.6%
Q4 2025$6.40+0.8%
Q3 2025$6.30+1.6%
Q2 2025$6.33+6.7%
Q1 2025$6.32+14%
Q4 2024$6.35+26%

ROST's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.26 over the past year, up 31% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

ROST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+13%
Q2 2026$6B+21%
Q1 2026$6.6B+12%
Q4 2025$5.6B+10%
Q3 2025$5.5B+4.6%
Q2 2025$5B+2.6%
Q1 2025$5.9B-1.8%
Q4 2024$5.1B+3%

ROST's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $6.3B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ROST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$624.5M+34%
Q2 2026$627.1M+210%
Q1 2026$920.8M+36%
Q4 2025$617.8M+86%
Q3 2025$466.6M+18%
Q2 2025$202.3M-13%
Q1 2025$676.6M-6.9%
Q4 2024$333M+22%

ROST generated $2.8B in free cash flow over the past year, up 66% from the year before.

ROST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.6%-5.3M shares
3 years-5.5%-18.5M shares
5 years-10%-35.5M shares
Available history-11%-39.8M shares

ROST has 319M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.

ROST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ROST has more cash than debt.

ROST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

ROST's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

ROST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricROSTSector medianRelative
PE29x18x59% above
PE %684721 pts above

ROST is trading at 29x earnings, a 59% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ROST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$231.22.6% above
20 week MA$233.31.7% above
50 week MA$218.38.7% above
100 week MA$181.331% above
200 week MA$155.353% above

ROST is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 53% above its 200-week average.

ROST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$115.0$118.0+2.7%
2021$118.0$110.2-6.7%
2022$110.2$115.5+4.8%
2023$115.5$138.4+20%
2024$138.4$153.0+11%
2025$153.0$181.1+18%
2026 YTD$181.1$237.2+31%

ROST has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 31% so far in 2026.

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