RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over WSO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WSO

Watsco, Inc.

51
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

WSO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WSO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

WSO's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSO PE Valuation

WSO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over WSO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

WSO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect WSO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WSO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WSO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$391.90
Downside-21%$244.14

Calculated from the latest close: $308.24 on Nov 12.

WSO trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

WSO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.67Q1 2024: $13.01Q2 2024: $13.08Q3 2024: $12.95Q4 2024: $13.30Q1 2025: $13.06Q2 2025: $13.09Q3 2025: $12.85Q4 2025: $12.25Q1 2026: $12.19Q2 2026: $11.67Q3 2026: $11.46Forward: $12.53
Q4 2023: $13.67Q1 2024: $13.01Q2 2024: $13.08Q3 2024: $12.95Q4 2024: $13.30Q1 2025: $13.06Q2 2025: $13.09Q3 2025: $12.85Q4 2025: $12.25Q1 2026: $12.19Q2 2026: $11.67Q3 2026: $11.46Forward: $12.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.53+9.3%
Q3 2026$11.46-11%
Q2 2026$11.67-11%
Q1 2026$12.19-6.7%
Q4 2025$12.25-7.9%
Q3 2025$12.85-0.8%
Q2 2025$13.09+0.1%
Q1 2025$13.06+0.4%
Q4 2024$13.30-2.7%

WSO has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over WSO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WSO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+7.4%
Q2 2026$2.1B+2.1%
Q1 2026$1.5B+0.1%
Q4 2025$1.6B-10%
Q3 2025$2.1B-4.3%
Q2 2025$2.1B-3.6%
Q1 2025$1.5B-2.2%
Q4 2024$1.8B+9.4%

WSO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $2.2B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

WSO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $98MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $223MQ4 2024: $371MQ1 2025: −$185MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $346MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $315M
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $98MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $223MQ4 2024: $371MQ1 2025: −$185MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $346MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $315M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$315.4M-8.9%
Q2 2026-$11.5M+$2.8M
Q1 2026-$25.9M+$159.3M
Q4 2025$388.5M+4.7%
Q3 2025$346.1M+55%
Q2 2025-$14.3M-128%
Q1 2025-$185.2M-289%
Q4 2024$370.9M+28%

WSO has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

WSO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+365K shares
1 year+1.7%+640K shares
3 years-2.1%-836K shares
5 years-0.6%-215K shares
Available history+11%+3.9M shares

WSO has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WSO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

WSO has more cash than debt.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

WSO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic42.6Neutral

WSO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWSOSector medianRelative
PE27x24x12% above
PE %325826 pts below

WSO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over WSO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WSO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$303.71.5% above
20 week MA$323.44.7% below
50 week MA$361.915% below
100 week MA$402.823% below
200 week MA$404.424% below

WSO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 24% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over WSO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WSO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$180.7$234.2+30%
2021$234.2$302.9+29%
2022$302.9$252.2-17%
2023$252.2$428.5+70%
2024$428.5$480.0+12%
2025$480.0$348.1-27%
2026 YTD$348.1$308.2-11%

WSO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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