WSO

Watsco, Inc.

51
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

WSO lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

WSO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

WSO's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

WSO PE Valuation

WSO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect WSO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

WSO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$391.90
Downside-21%$244.14

Calculated from the latest close: $308.24 on Nov 12.

WSO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +27% against −21%.

WSO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.67Q1 2024: $13.01Q2 2024: $13.08Q3 2024: $12.95Q4 2024: $13.30Q1 2025: $13.06Q2 2025: $13.09Q3 2025: $12.85Q4 2025: $12.25Q1 2026: $12.19Q2 2026: $11.67Q3 2026: $11.46Forward: $12.53
Q4 2023: $13.67Q1 2024: $13.01Q2 2024: $13.08Q3 2024: $12.95Q4 2024: $13.30Q1 2025: $13.06Q2 2025: $13.09Q3 2025: $12.85Q4 2025: $12.25Q1 2026: $12.19Q2 2026: $11.67Q3 2026: $11.46Forward: $12.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.53+9.3%
Q3 2026$11.46-11%
Q2 2026$11.67-11%
Q1 2026$12.19-6.7%
Q4 2025$12.25-7.9%
Q3 2025$12.85-0.8%
Q2 2025$13.09+0.1%
Q1 2025$13.06+0.4%
Q4 2024$13.30-2.7%

WSO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $11.46 over the past year, against $15.41 in late 2022.

WSO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+7.4%
Q2 2026$2.1B+2.1%
Q1 2026$1.5B+0.1%
Q4 2025$1.6B-10%
Q3 2025$2.1B-4.3%
Q2 2025$2.1B-3.6%
Q1 2025$1.5B-2.2%
Q4 2024$1.8B+9.4%

WSO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $2.2B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

WSO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $98MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $223MQ4 2024: $371MQ1 2025: −$185MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $346MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $315M
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $98MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $223MQ4 2024: $371MQ1 2025: −$185MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $346MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $315M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$315.4M-8.9%
Q2 2026-$11.5M+$2.8M
Q1 2026-$25.9M+$159.3M
Q4 2025$388.5M+4.7%
Q3 2025$346.1M+55%
Q2 2025-$14.3M-128%
Q1 2025-$185.2M-289%
Q4 2024$370.9M+28%

WSO generated $666M in free cash flow over the past year, up 29% from the year before.

WSO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+365K shares
1 year+1.7%+640K shares
3 years-2.1%-836K shares
5 years-0.6%-215K shares
Available history+11%+3.9M shares

WSO has 39M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.

WSO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

WSO has more cash than debt.

WSO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic42.6Neutral

WSO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

WSO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWSOSector medianRelative
PE27x24x12% above
PE %325826 pts below

WSO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$303.71.5% above
20 week MA$323.44.7% below
50 week MA$361.915% below
100 week MA$402.823% below
200 week MA$404.424% below

WSO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 24% below its 200-week average.

WSO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$180.7$234.2+30%
2021$234.2$302.9+29%
2022$302.9$252.2-17%
2023$252.2$428.5+70%
2024$428.5$480.0+12%
2025$480.0$348.1-27%
2026 YTD$348.1$308.2-11%

WSO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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