RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over WLFC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WLFC

Willis Lease Finance Corporation

44
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

WLFC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WLFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Weak

WLFC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WLFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE108x216x325x433x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE108x216x325x433x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$16.10-65%
Fair9.2x$31.00-33%
Expensive14x$48.27+4.1%
Current14x$46.35—
Forward14x$46.35—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WLFC's PE is 14x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over WLFC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

WLFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect WLFC's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WLFC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WLFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$69.48
Downside-33%$30.91

Calculated from the latest close: $46.35 on Nov 12.

WLFC trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

WLFC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $4.70Q4 2024: $5.11Q1 2025: $4.85Q2 2025: $5.59Q3 2025: $5.55Q4 2025: $5.13Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $3.25
Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $4.70Q4 2024: $5.11Q1 2025: $4.85Q2 2025: $5.59Q3 2025: $5.55Q4 2025: $5.13Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $3.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.25-3.7%
Q3 2026$3.37-39%
Q2 2026$3.98-29%
Q1 2026$5.48+13%
Q4 2025$5.13+0.4%
Q3 2025$5.55+18%
Q2 2025$5.59+30%
Q1 2025$4.85+68%
Q4 2024$5.11+146%

WLFC has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over WLFC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WLFC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $196MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $246M
Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $196MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $246M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$246.3M+34%
Q2 2026$194M-0.8%
Q1 2026$194.3M+23%
Q4 2025$193.6M+27%
Q3 2025$183.4M+25%
Q2 2025$195.5M+29%
Q1 2025$157.7M+32%
Q4 2024$152.8M+34%

WLFC's revenue is growing: $246M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

WLFC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$102.7M+78%
Q2 2026$74.8M-21%
Q1 2026$53.1M+58%
Q4 2025$66.2M+20%
Q3 2025$57.8M-33%
Q2 2025$94.5M+38%
Q1 2025$33.5M-44%
Q4 2024$55.1M-8%

WLFC has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

WLFC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-72K shares
1 year+4%+848K shares
3 years+13%+2.5M shares
5 years+15%+2.9M shares
Available history+20%+3.6M shares

WLFC has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WLFC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.6xQ1 2024: 9.9xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 9.5xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 12.8xQ3 2025: 9.9xQ4 2025: 12.4xQ1 2026: 9.7xQ2 2026: 9.7xQ3 2026: 11.7x
Q4 2023: 11.6xQ1 2024: 9.9xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 9.5xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 12.8xQ3 2025: 9.9xQ4 2025: 12.4xQ1 2026: 9.7xQ2 2026: 9.7xQ3 2026: 11.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.7xHigh
Q2 20269.7xHigh
Q1 20269.7xHigh
Q4 202512.4xHigh
Q3 20259.9xHigh
Q2 202512.8xHigh
Q1 20259.3xHigh
Q4 20249.5xHigh

WLFC's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.9 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

WLFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.2Neutral
Stochastic27.3Neutral

WLFC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WLFC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWLFCSector medianRelative
PE14x24x43% below
PE %785820 pts above

WLFC is trading at 14x earnings, a 43% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over WLFC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WLFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.05.2% above
20 week MA$54.916% below
50 week MA$58.020% below
100 week MA$54.916% below
200 week MA$39.517% above

WLFC's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

WLFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.8$11.0-45%
2021$11.0$12.3+12%
2022$12.3$18.8+52%
2023$18.8$16.3-13%
2024$16.3$67.3+313%
2025$67.3$45.6-32%
2026 YTD$45.6$46.4+1.7%

WLFC has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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