WLFC

Willis Lease Finance Corporation

44
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

WLFC's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 20%, but its operating margin fell 6 points to 11%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

WLFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Weak

WLFC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

WLFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE108x216x325x433x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE108x216x325x433x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$16.10-65%
Fair9.2x$31.00-33%
Expensive14x$48.27+4.1%
Current14x$46.35—
Forward14x$46.35—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WLFC's PE is 14x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

WLFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect WLFC's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

WLFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$69.48
Downside-33%$30.91

Calculated from the latest close: $46.35 on Nov 12.

WLFC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +50% against −33%.

WLFC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $4.70Q4 2024: $5.11Q1 2025: $4.85Q2 2025: $5.59Q3 2025: $5.55Q4 2025: $5.13Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $3.25
Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $4.70Q4 2024: $5.11Q1 2025: $4.85Q2 2025: $5.59Q3 2025: $5.55Q4 2025: $5.13Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $3.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.25-3.7%
Q3 2026$3.37-39%
Q2 2026$3.98-29%
Q1 2026$5.48+13%
Q4 2025$5.13+0.4%
Q3 2025$5.55+18%
Q2 2025$5.59+30%
Q1 2025$4.85+68%
Q4 2024$5.11+146%

WLFC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.37 over the past year, against $5.59 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

WLFC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $196MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $246M
Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $196MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $246M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$246.3M+34%
Q2 2026$194M-0.8%
Q1 2026$194.3M+23%
Q4 2025$193.6M+27%
Q3 2025$183.4M+25%
Q2 2025$195.5M+29%
Q1 2025$157.7M+32%
Q4 2024$152.8M+34%

WLFC's revenue is growing: $246M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

WLFC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$102.7M+78%
Q2 2026$74.8M-21%
Q1 2026$53.1M+58%
Q4 2025$66.2M+20%
Q3 2025$57.8M-33%
Q2 2025$94.5M+38%
Q1 2025$33.5M-44%
Q4 2024$55.1M-8%

WLFC's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $297M over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

WLFC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-72K shares
1 year+4%+848K shares
3 years+13%+2.5M shares
5 years+15%+2.9M shares
Available history+20%+3.6M shares

WLFC has 22M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago.

WLFC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.6xQ1 2024: 9.9xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 9.5xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 12.8xQ3 2025: 9.9xQ4 2025: 12.4xQ1 2026: 9.7xQ2 2026: 9.7xQ3 2026: 11.7x
Q4 2023: 11.6xQ1 2024: 9.9xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 9.5xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 12.8xQ3 2025: 9.9xQ4 2025: 12.4xQ1 2026: 9.7xQ2 2026: 9.7xQ3 2026: 11.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.7xHigh
Q2 20269.7xHigh
Q1 20269.7xHigh
Q4 202512.4xHigh
Q3 20259.9xHigh
Q2 202512.8xHigh
Q1 20259.3xHigh
Q4 20249.5xHigh

WLFC's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.9 years a year ago.

WLFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.2Neutral
Stochastic27.3Neutral

WLFC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

WLFC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWLFCSector medianRelative
PE14x24x43% below
PE %785820 pts above

WLFC is trading at 14x earnings, a 43% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

WLFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.05.2% above
20 week MA$54.916% below
50 week MA$58.020% below
100 week MA$54.916% below
200 week MA$39.517% above

WLFC's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

WLFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.8$11.0-45%
2021$11.0$12.3+12%
2022$12.3$18.8+52%
2023$18.8$16.3-13%
2024$16.3$67.3+313%
2025$67.3$45.6-32%
2026 YTD$45.6$46.4+1.7%

WLFC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +313% in 2024 to −45% in 2020. It's up 1.7% so far in 2026.

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