RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VSEC

VSE Corporation

70
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

VSEC has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VSEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Stable
Under pressure

VSEC's revenue and profitability are currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSEC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$80.58-56%
Forward23x$184—
Current45x$184—
Fair63x$258+40%
Expensive147x$601+227%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSEC's PE is in its fair range at 45x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VSEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VSEC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails VSEC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VSEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$340.41
Downside-14%$157.54

Calculated from the latest close: $183.62 on Nov 12.

VSEC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

VSEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.76Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $7.85
Q4 2023: $2.76Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $7.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.85+92%
Q3 2026$4.08+483%
Q2 2026$2.78+144%
Q1 2026$2.03+148%
Q4 2025$0.55-35%
Q3 2025$0.70-13%
Q2 2025$1.14+42%
Q1 2025$0.82-50%
Q4 2024$0.85-69%

VSEC has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over VSEC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VSEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $242MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $449MQ3 2026: $541M
Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $242MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $449MQ3 2026: $541M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$541M+91%
Q2 2026$449.1M+65%
Q1 2026$324.6M+27%
Q4 2025$301.2M+0.7%
Q3 2025$282.9M+3.4%
Q2 2025$272.1M+2.3%
Q1 2025$256M+6%
Q4 2024$299M+27%

VSEC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $541M last quarter, up 91% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

VSEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$69MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$69MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$46.6M+158%
Q2 2026$18.7M+197%
Q1 2026-$68.7M-$19.2M
Q4 2025$30.9M-41%
Q3 2025$18M+309%
Q2 2025$6.3M+$27.8M
Q1 2025-$49.5M+$37.3M
Q4 2024$52.1M+160%

VSEC has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over VSEC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VSEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+405K shares
1 year+53%+11.1M shares
3 years+146%+18.9M shares
5 years+150%+19.1M shares
Available history+187%+20.7M shares

VSEC has 32M diluted shares, up 53% from a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VSEC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 2026-6.3xNet Cash
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

VSEC's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

VSEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic26.8Neutral

VSEC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSEC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVSECSector medianRelative
PE45x24x87% above
PE %405818 pts below

VSEC is trading at 45x earnings, a 87% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

VSEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$166.510% above
20 week MA$191.64.2% below
50 week MA$193.55.1% below
100 week MA$163.912% above
200 week MA$116.558% above

VSEC's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 58% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

VSEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.0$40.7+4.4%
2021$40.7$61.5+51%
2022$61.5$44.9-27%
2023$44.9$64.6+44%
2024$64.6$96.8+50%
2025$96.8$179.5+85%
2026 YTD$179.5$183.6+2.3%

VSEC has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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