VSEC

VSE Corporation

70
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

VSEC's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and its operating margin rose 4 points to 12%. At 45x earnings, it's trading below its usual 64x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.

VSEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Stable
Under pressure

VSEC's revenue and profitability are currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

VSEC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$80.58-56%
Forward23x$184—
Current45x$184—
Fair63x$258+40%
Expensive147x$601+227%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSEC's PE is in its fair range at 45x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VSEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VSEC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VSEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$340.41
Downside-14%$157.54

Calculated from the latest close: $183.62 on Nov 12.

VSEC's one-year upside scenario is about six times its downside: +85% against −14%.

VSEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.76Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $7.85
Q4 2023: $2.76Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $7.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.85+92%
Q3 2026$4.08+483%
Q2 2026$2.78+144%
Q1 2026$2.03+148%
Q4 2025$0.55-35%
Q3 2025$0.70-13%
Q2 2025$1.14+42%
Q1 2025$0.82-50%
Q4 2024$0.85-69%

VSEC's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.08 over the past year, up from $0.70 the year before.

VSEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $242MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $449MQ3 2026: $541M
Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $242MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $449MQ3 2026: $541M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$541M+91%
Q2 2026$449.1M+65%
Q1 2026$324.6M+27%
Q4 2025$301.2M+0.7%
Q3 2025$282.9M+3.4%
Q2 2025$272.1M+2.3%
Q1 2025$256M+6%
Q4 2024$299M+27%

VSEC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $541M last quarter, up 91% from the same quarter a year ago.

VSEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$69MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$69MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$46.6M+158%
Q2 2026$18.7M+197%
Q1 2026-$68.7M-$19.2M
Q4 2025$30.9M-41%
Q3 2025$18M+309%
Q2 2025$6.3M+$27.8M
Q1 2025-$49.5M+$37.3M
Q4 2024$52.1M+160%

VSEC generated $27M in free cash flow over the past year, up 1.9% from the year before.

VSEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+405K shares
1 year+53%+11.1M shares
3 years+146%+18.9M shares
5 years+150%+19.1M shares
Available history+187%+20.7M shares

VSEC has 32M diluted shares, up 53% from a year ago.

VSEC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 2026-6.3xNet Cash
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

VSEC's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

VSEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic26.8Neutral

VSEC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

VSEC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVSECSector medianRelative
PE45x24x87% above
PE %405818 pts below

VSEC is trading at 45x earnings, a 87% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

VSEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$166.510% above
20 week MA$191.64.2% below
50 week MA$193.55.1% below
100 week MA$163.912% above
200 week MA$116.558% above

VSEC's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 58% above its 200-week average.

VSEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.0$40.7+4.4%
2021$40.7$61.5+51%
2022$61.5$44.9-27%
2023$44.9$64.6+44%
2024$64.6$96.8+50%
2025$96.8$179.5+85%
2026 YTD$179.5$183.6+2.3%

VSEC has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 2.3% so far in 2026.

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