RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VMI

Valmont Industries, Inc.

76
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

VMI has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Healthy

VMI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$423—
Forward17x$423—
Cheap19x$510+21%
Fair26x$711+68%
Expensive34x$911+116%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VMI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VMI, with profitability improving.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails VMI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$563.50
Downside-10%$381.51

Calculated from the latest close: $422.71 on Nov 12.

VMI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

VMI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.78Q1 2024: $7.63Q2 2024: $8.33Q3 2024: $14.78Q4 2024: $17.19Q1 2025: $17.19Q2 2025: $10.75Q3 2025: $11.62Q4 2025: $16.79Q1 2026: $17.98Q2 2026: $25.65Q3 2026: $26.91Forward: $25.44
Q4 2023: $6.78Q1 2024: $7.63Q2 2024: $8.33Q3 2024: $14.78Q4 2024: $17.19Q1 2025: $17.19Q2 2025: $10.75Q3 2025: $11.62Q4 2025: $16.79Q1 2026: $17.98Q2 2026: $25.65Q3 2026: $26.91Forward: $25.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$25.44-5.5%
Q3 2026$26.91+132%
Q2 2026$25.65+139%
Q1 2026$17.98+4.6%
Q4 2025$16.79-2.3%
Q3 2025$11.62-21%
Q2 2025$10.75+29%
Q1 2025$17.19+125%
Q4 2024$17.19+154%

VMI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over VMI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VMI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $978MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $969MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $978MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $969MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+5.5%
Q2 2026$1.1B+6.5%
Q1 2026$1B+6.2%
Q4 2025$1B+0.1%
Q3 2025$1B+2.5%
Q2 2025$1.1B+1%
Q1 2025$969.3M-0.9%
Q4 2024$1B+2.1%

VMI's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

VMI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$54.9M-22%
Q2 2026$112.2M-17%
Q1 2026$68.9M+98%
Q4 2025$70.4M-58%
Q3 2025$70.6M-66%
Q2 2025$135.6M+21%
Q1 2025$34.8M+318%
Q4 2024$167.8M+86%

VMI has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

VMI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-129K shares
1 year-2.4%-485K shares
3 years-9.9%-2.1M shares
5 years-9.5%-2M shares
Available history-11%-2.4M shares

VMI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VMI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

VMI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

VMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.2Neutral
Stochastic11.5Oversold

VMI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VMI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVMISector medianRelative
PE16x24x35% below
PE %55853 pts below

VMI is trading at 16x earnings, a 35% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over VMI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$442.84.5% below
20 week MA$476.711% below
50 week MA$467.59.6% below
100 week MA$405.44.3% above
200 week MA$336.626% above

VMI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

VMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.4$172.1+14%
2021$172.1$244.8+42%
2022$244.8$335.1+37%
2023$335.1$233.5-30%
2024$233.5$306.5+31%
2025$306.5$412.2+34%
2026 YTD$412.2$422.7+2.5%

VMI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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