VMI

Valmont Industries, Inc.

76
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

VMI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 16x earnings, below its usual 26x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

VMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Healthy

VMI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

VMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$423—
Forward17x$423—
Cheap19x$510+21%
Fair26x$711+68%
Expensive34x$911+116%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VMI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.

VMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VMI, with profitability improving.

VMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$563.50
Downside-10%$381.51

Calculated from the latest close: $422.71 on Nov 12.

VMI's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +33% against −9.7%.

VMI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.78Q1 2024: $7.63Q2 2024: $8.33Q3 2024: $14.78Q4 2024: $17.19Q1 2025: $17.19Q2 2025: $10.75Q3 2025: $11.62Q4 2025: $16.79Q1 2026: $17.98Q2 2026: $25.65Q3 2026: $26.91Forward: $25.44
Q4 2023: $6.78Q1 2024: $7.63Q2 2024: $8.33Q3 2024: $14.78Q4 2024: $17.19Q1 2025: $17.19Q2 2025: $10.75Q3 2025: $11.62Q4 2025: $16.79Q1 2026: $17.98Q2 2026: $25.65Q3 2026: $26.91Forward: $25.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$25.44-5.5%
Q3 2026$26.91+132%
Q2 2026$25.65+139%
Q1 2026$17.98+4.6%
Q4 2025$16.79-2.3%
Q3 2025$11.62-21%
Q2 2025$10.75+29%
Q1 2025$17.19+125%
Q4 2024$17.19+154%

VMI earned $26.91 per share over the past year, up 132% from the year before.

VMI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $978MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $969MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $978MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $969MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+5.5%
Q2 2026$1.1B+6.5%
Q1 2026$1B+6.2%
Q4 2025$1B+0.1%
Q3 2025$1B+2.5%
Q2 2025$1.1B+1%
Q1 2025$969.3M-0.9%
Q4 2024$1B+2.1%

VMI's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

VMI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$54.9M-22%
Q2 2026$112.2M-17%
Q1 2026$68.9M+98%
Q4 2025$70.4M-58%
Q3 2025$70.6M-66%
Q2 2025$135.6M+21%
Q1 2025$34.8M+318%
Q4 2024$167.8M+86%

VMI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $306M over the past year.

VMI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-129K shares
1 year-2.4%-485K shares
3 years-9.9%-2.1M shares
5 years-9.5%-2M shares
Available history-11%-2.4M shares

VMI has 19M diluted shares, down 2.4% from a year ago, with $272M in buybacks over the past year.

VMI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

VMI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.2Neutral
Stochastic11.5Oversold

VMI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

VMI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVMISector medianRelative
PE16x24x35% below
PE %55853 pts below

VMI is trading at 16x earnings, a 35% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

VMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$442.84.5% below
20 week MA$476.711% below
50 week MA$467.59.6% below
100 week MA$405.44.3% above
200 week MA$336.626% above

VMI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.

VMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.4$172.1+14%
2021$172.1$244.8+42%
2022$244.8$335.1+37%
2023$335.1$233.5-30%
2024$233.5$306.5+31%
2025$306.5$412.2+34%
2026 YTD$412.2$422.7+2.5%

VMI has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 2.5% so far in 2026.

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