RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated
TDG has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TDG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
TDG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TDG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 34x | $1,203 | — |
| Cheap | 39x | $1,391 | +16% |
| Fair | 48x | $1,689 | +40% |
| Expensive | 57x | $2,012 | +67% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TDG's PE is in its cheap range at 34x.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TDG Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for TDG to show an outlook.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
TDG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.51 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $32.96 | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.04 | +8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.08 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.08 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $30.15 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $29.64 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.37 | +20% |
TDG has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over TDG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TDG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.7B | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.3B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +12% |
TDG's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 46% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 46% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 48% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 46% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 49% | +4.6 points |
TDG has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
TDG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $427M | -3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $650M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $64M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $772M | +8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $441M | -17% |
| Q2 2025 | $573M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $92M | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $710M | +18% |
TDG has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TDG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +200K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -600K shares |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +400K shares |
| 5 years | -1.4% | -800K shares |
| Available history | +0.3% | +200K shares |
TDG has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $943M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $615M |
| Q4 2025 | $106M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $131M |
| Q1 2025 | $53M |
| Q4 2024 | $316M |
TDG spent $2.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TDG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.4x | High |
TDG's net debt is about 6.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.8 years a year ago.
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
TDG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 45.9 | Neutral |
TDG's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TDG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TDG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 24x | 41% above |
| PE % | 7 | 58 | 51 pts below |
TDG is trading at 34x earnings, a 41% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
TDG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,138.2 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,185.4 | 1.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,239.0 | 2.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $1,304.6 | 7.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $1,175.0 | 2.4% above |
TDG's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.4% above its 200-week average.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.
TDG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $564.0 | $606.7 | +7.6% |
| 2021 | $606.7 | $628.0 | +3.5% |
| 2022 | $628.0 | $620.3 | -1.2% |
| 2023 | $620.3 | $1,011.6 | +63% |
| 2024 | $1,011.6 | $1,290.9 | +28% |
| 2025 | $1,290.9 | $1,309.2 | +1.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,309.2 | $1,203.0 | -8.1% |
TDG has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.