RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SWK

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

69
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SWK has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SWK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

SWK's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SWK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$78.98-30%
Current20x$113—
Fair22x$121+7.1%
Expensive30x$169+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWK's PE is in its fair range at 20x.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SWK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SWK to show an outlook.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails SWK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SWK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$154.08
Downside-14%$96.88

Calculated from the latest close: $113.02 on Nov 12.

SWK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

SWK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$5.59+93%
Q2 2026$4.10+30%
Q1 2026$2.44+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.65+36%
Q3 2025$2.90+$4.26
Q2 2025$3.16+$5.09
Q1 2025$2.42+$3.10
Q4 2024$1.95+$4.02

SWK has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over SWK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-0.6%
Q2 2026$4B+0.4%
Q1 2026$3.8B+2.7%
Q4 2025$3.7B-1%
Q3 2025$3.8B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.9B-2%
Q1 2025$3.7B-3.2%
Q4 2024$3.7B-0.4%

SWK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

SWK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$585M+277%
Q2 2026$698.2M+418%
Q1 2026-$447.3M+$37.7M
Q4 2025$882.9M+56%
Q3 2025$155.3M-22%
Q2 2025$134.7M-72%
Q1 2025-$485M+$11.7M
Q4 2024$564.6M-13%

SWK has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SWK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2M shares
1 year-2.2%-3.3M shares
3 years-1.3%-1.9M shares
5 years-10%-16.7M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.9M shares

SWK has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SWK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20268.4xHigh
Q4 20257.1xHigh
Q3 20259.2xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20254.4xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

SWK's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 9.2 years a year ago.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SWK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.0Overbought
Stochastic81.3Overbought

SWK's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SWK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSWKSector medianRelative
PE20x24x16% below
PE %435815 pts below

SWK is trading at 20x earnings, a 16% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

SWK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.314% above
20 week MA$96.517% above
50 week MA$85.932% above
100 week MA$79.642% above
200 week MA$84.833% above

SWK has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

SWK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$165.9$179.9+8.5%
2021$179.9$182.2+1.3%
2022$182.2$73.9-59%
2023$73.9$98.1+33%
2024$98.1$80.6-18%
2025$80.6$75.4-6.5%
2026 YTD$75.4$113.0+50%

SWK has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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