RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
SWBI has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SWBI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SWBI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SWBI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.3x | $2.38 | -85% |
| Fair | 17x | $9.35 | -40% |
| Current | 28x | $15.57 | — |
| Forward | 28x | $15.57 | — |
| Expensive | 36x | $19.91 | +28% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SWBI's PE is in its expensive range at 28.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27.8x.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SWBI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SWBI, with profitability improving.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
SWBI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.56 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.55 | +104% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.41 | +37% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.26 | -60% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.22 | -72% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.27 | -64% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.30 | -65% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.65 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.78 | +22% |
SWBI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over SWBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SWBI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.6M | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $178.4M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $135.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $124.7M | -3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $85.1M | -3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $140.8M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $115.9M | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $129.7M | +3.8% |
SWBI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $113M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.4% | +2.4 points |
SWBI has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
SWBI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$20.8M | -$8.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $69.7M | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.8M | +$33M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.3M | +$27M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.4M | +$23.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $33.5M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | -$16.1M | -325% |
| Q4 2024 | -$10.7M | +$27.1M |
SWBI has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SWBI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +494K shares |
| 1 year | +2.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -690K shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -10.2M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -9.9M shares |
SWBI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $2.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.8M |
| Q3 2024 | $12.9M |
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SWBI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
SWBI has more cash than debt.
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
SWBI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.3 | Neutral |
SWBI's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SWBI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SWBI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 24x | 18% above |
| PE % | 71 | 58 | 13 pts above |
SWBI is trading at 28x earnings, a 18% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
SWBI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.2 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.2 | 9.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $13.6 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.5 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $12.5 | 24% above |
SWBI has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.
SWBI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.08 | $18.0 | +154% |
| 2021 | $18.0 | $17.6 | -2.3% |
| 2022 | $17.6 | $8.72 | -50% |
| 2023 | $8.72 | $13.6 | +56% |
| 2024 | $13.6 | $9.94 | -27% |
| 2025 | $9.94 | $9.99 | +0.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.99 | $15.6 | +56% |
SWBI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.