RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

STRL

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

73
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

STRL has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

STRL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Strong

STRL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STRL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x82x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x82x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$173-43%
Forward11x$302—
Fair15x$275-8.7%
Current17x$302—
Expensive31x$551+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STRL's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over STRL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

STRL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STRL, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails STRL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

STRL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+164%$795.96
Downside-17%$250.57

Calculated from the latest close: $301.60 on Nov 12.

STRL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

STRL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.44Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $5.20Q3 2024: $5.91Q4 2024: $8.27Q1 2025: $8.55Q2 2025: $9.19Q3 2025: $10.19Q4 2025: $9.38Q1 2026: $11.19Q2 2026: $13.88Q3 2026: $17.83Forward: $26.42
Q4 2023: $4.44Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $5.20Q3 2024: $5.91Q4 2024: $8.27Q1 2025: $8.55Q2 2025: $9.19Q3 2025: $10.19Q4 2025: $9.38Q1 2026: $11.19Q2 2026: $13.88Q3 2026: $17.83Forward: $26.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.42+48%
Q3 2026$17.83+75%
Q2 2026$13.88+51%
Q1 2026$11.19+31%
Q4 2025$9.38+13%
Q3 2025$10.19+72%
Q2 2025$9.19+77%
Q1 2025$8.55+78%
Q4 2024$8.27+86%

STRL has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over STRL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STRL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $486MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $583MQ3 2024: $594MQ4 2024: $499MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $689MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $486MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $583MQ3 2024: $594MQ4 2024: $499MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $689MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+127%
Q2 2026$1.2B+90%
Q1 2026$825.7M+92%
Q4 2025$755.6M+51%
Q3 2025$689M+16%
Q2 2025$614.5M+5.4%
Q1 2025$430.9M-2.1%
Q4 2024$498.8M+2.6%

STRL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

STRL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $146MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: $132MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $146MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$53.3M-17%
Q2 2026$112.4M+56%
Q1 2026$145.9M+118%
Q4 2025$159.7M+0.7%
Q3 2025$64M-54%
Q2 2025$72.1M-22%
Q1 2025$67M+147%
Q4 2024$158.6M+20%

STRL has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

STRL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-72K shares
1 year+0.4%+111K shares
3 years-0.5%-146K shares
5 years+6.4%+1.9M shares
Available history+15%+4M shares

STRL has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

STRL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

STRL has more cash than debt.

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

STRL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.1Neutral
Stochastic7.5Oversold

STRL's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STRL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSTRLSector medianRelative
PE17x24x30% below
PE %55583 pts below

STRL is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over STRL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STRL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$404.826% below
20 week MA$507.341% below
50 week MA$509.441% below
100 week MA$368.518% below
200 week MA$229.232% above

STRL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 32% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

STRL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.4$19.3+34%
2021$19.3$26.0+35%
2022$26.0$32.7+26%
2023$32.7$87.9+169%
2024$87.9$172.5+96%
2025$172.5$316.6+83%
2026 YTD$316.6$301.6-4.7%

STRL has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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