STRL
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
STRL's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 93% and free cash flow grew 30%. At 17x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 16x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.
STRL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
STRL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
STRL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $173 | -43% |
| Forward | 11x | $302 | — |
| Fair | 15x | $275 | -8.7% |
| Current | 17x | $302 | — |
| Expensive | 31x | $551 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STRL's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
STRL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STRL, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STRL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.42 | +48% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.83 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.88 | +51% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.19 | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.38 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.19 | +72% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.19 | +77% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.55 | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.27 | +86% |
STRL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.83 over the past year, up 75% from the year before, and higher year over year for 20 quarters in a row.
STRL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $825.7M | +92% |
| Q4 2025 | $755.6M | +51% |
| Q3 2025 | $689M | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $614.5M | +5.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $430.9M | -2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $498.8M | +2.6% |
STRL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | +3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +1 points |
STRL's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 1.4 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
STRL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $53.3M | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $112.4M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $145.9M | +118% |
| Q4 2025 | $159.7M | +0.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $64M | -54% |
| Q2 2025 | $72.1M | -22% |
| Q1 2025 | $67M | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $158.6M | +20% |
STRL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $471M over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
STRL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -72K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +111K shares |
| 3 years | -0.5% | -146K shares |
| 5 years | +6.4% | +1.9M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +4M shares |
STRL has 31M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $72M |
| Q2 2026 | $23M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $25.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.7M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $43.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M |
STRL spent $133M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 94% from the year before.
STRL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
STRL has more cash than debt.
STRL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.5 | Oversold |
STRL's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
STRL PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | STRL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 24x | 30% below |
| PE % | 55 | 58 | 3 pts below |
STRL is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
STRL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $404.8 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $507.3 | 41% below |
| 50 week MA | $509.4 | 41% below |
| 100 week MA | $368.5 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $229.2 | 32% above |
STRL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 32% above its 200-week average.
STRL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.4 | $19.3 | +34% |
| 2021 | $19.3 | $26.0 | +35% |
| 2022 | $26.0 | $32.7 | +26% |
| 2023 | $32.7 | $87.9 | +169% |
| 2024 | $87.9 | $172.5 | +96% |
| 2025 | $172.5 | $316.6 | +83% |
| 2026 YTD | $316.6 | $301.6 | -4.7% |
STRL has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 4.7% so far in 2026.