RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
SSD has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SSD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SSD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SSD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $155 | -22% |
| Forward | 21x | $199 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $202 | +1.4% |
| Current | 22x | $199 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $226 | +14% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SSD's PE is in its fair range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RKLB has the edge over SSD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SSD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SSD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
SSD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.44 | +2.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.24 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.14 | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.52 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.24 | +8.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.21 | +8.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.84 | +0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.68 | -3.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.60 | -8% |
SSD has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over SSD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SSD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $638.1M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $671.1M | +6.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $588M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $539.3M | +4.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $623.5M | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $631.1M | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $538.9M | +1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $517.4M | +3.1% |
SSD's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $638M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 25% | +3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +0.6 points |
SSD has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
SSD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $161.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $197.5M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.9M | +$60.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $119M | +97% |
| Q3 2025 | $133.8M | +130% |
| Q2 2025 | $84.2M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | -$42.6M | -$11.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $60.3M | +$62.8M |
SSD has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SSD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -333K shares |
| 1 year | -2.3% | -966K shares |
| 3 years | -5% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | -6.3% | -2.7M shares |
| Available history | -9.3% | -4.2M shares |
SSD has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $66.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $48.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $50M |
| Q4 2025 | $30M |
| Q3 2025 | $30M |
| Q2 2025 | $35M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $50M |
SSD spent $195M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 39% from the year before.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SSD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
SSD has more cash than debt.
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
SSD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 69.0 | Neutral |
SSD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SSD PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SSD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 24x | 11% below |
| PE % | 45 | 58 | 13 pts below |
SSD is trading at 22x earnings, a 11% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
SSD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $183.9 | 8.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $186.0 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $184.1 | 8% above |
| 100 week MA | $175.4 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $167.9 | 18% above |
SSD has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.
SSD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $80.5 | $92.9 | +15% |
| 2021 | $92.9 | $134.0 | +44% |
| 2022 | $134.0 | $89.2 | -33% |
| 2023 | $89.2 | $198.0 | +122% |
| 2024 | $198.0 | $166.8 | -16% |
| 2025 | $166.8 | $167.2 | +0.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.2 | $198.8 | +19% |
SSD has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.