SSD

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.

63
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SSD's fundamentals are strong: it turned 20% of its revenue into free cash flow and free cash flow more than doubled. At 22x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SSD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SSD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

SSD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$155-22%
Forward21x$199—
Fair22x$202+1.4%
Current22x$199—
Expensive24x$226+14%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SSD's PE is in its fair range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.

SSD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SSD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SSD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$246.72
Downside-14%$170.15

Calculated from the latest close: $198.77 on Nov 12.

SSD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +24% against −14%.

SSD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $7.98Q2 2024: $7.79Q3 2024: $7.57Q4 2024: $7.60Q1 2025: $7.68Q2 2025: $7.84Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.24Q1 2026: $8.52Q2 2026: $9.14Q3 2026: $9.24Forward: $9.44
Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $7.98Q2 2024: $7.79Q3 2024: $7.57Q4 2024: $7.60Q1 2025: $7.68Q2 2025: $7.84Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.24Q1 2026: $8.52Q2 2026: $9.14Q3 2026: $9.24Forward: $9.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.44+2.2%
Q3 2026$9.24+13%
Q2 2026$9.14+17%
Q1 2026$8.52+11%
Q4 2025$8.24+8.4%
Q3 2025$8.21+8.5%
Q2 2025$7.84+0.6%
Q1 2025$7.68-3.8%
Q4 2024$7.60-8%

SSD earned $9.24 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

SSD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $502MQ1 2024: $531MQ2 2024: $597MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $517MQ1 2025: $539MQ2 2025: $631MQ3 2025: $624MQ4 2025: $539MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $671MQ3 2026: $638M
Q4 2023: $502MQ1 2024: $531MQ2 2024: $597MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $517MQ1 2025: $539MQ2 2025: $631MQ3 2025: $624MQ4 2025: $539MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $671MQ3 2026: $638M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$638.1M+2.3%
Q2 2026$671.1M+6.3%
Q1 2026$588M+9.1%
Q4 2025$539.3M+4.2%
Q3 2025$623.5M+6.2%
Q2 2025$631.1M+5.7%
Q1 2025$538.9M+1.6%
Q4 2024$517.4M+3.1%

SSD's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $638M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SSD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$43MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $198MQ3 2026: $161M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$43MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $198MQ3 2026: $161M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$161.4M+21%
Q2 2026$197.5M+135%
Q1 2026$17.9M+$60.5M
Q4 2025$119M+97%
Q3 2025$133.8M+130%
Q2 2025$84.2M+19%
Q1 2025-$42.6M-$11.1M
Q4 2024$60.3M+$62.8M

SSD generated $496M in free cash flow over the past year, up 110% from the year before.

SSD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-333K shares
1 year-2.3%-966K shares
3 years-5%-2.1M shares
5 years-6.3%-2.7M shares
Available history-9.3%-4.2M shares

SSD has 41M diluted shares, down 2.3% from a year ago, with $195M in buybacks over the past year.

SSD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

SSD has more cash than debt.

SSD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.5Neutral
Stochastic69.0Neutral

SSD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

SSD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSSDSector medianRelative
PE22x24x10% below
PE %455813 pts below

SSD is trading at 22x earnings, a 10% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SSD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$183.98.1% above
20 week MA$186.06.9% above
50 week MA$184.18% above
100 week MA$175.413% above
200 week MA$167.918% above

SSD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

SSD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.5$92.9+15%
2021$92.9$134.0+44%
2022$134.0$89.2-33%
2023$89.2$198.0+122%
2024$198.0$166.8-16%
2025$166.8$167.2+0.2%
2026 YTD$167.2$198.8+19%

SSD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

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