RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SAIA
Saia, Inc.
SAIA has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SAIA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
SAIA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAIA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $217 | -35% |
| Forward | 24x | $331 | — |
| Fair | 31x | $327 | -1.3% |
| Current | 31x | $331 | — |
| Expensive | 39x | $415 | +25% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SAIA's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SAIA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SAIA, with profitability improving.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
SAIA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.82 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.55 | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.36 | -4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.52 | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.52 | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.59 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.83 | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.99 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.51 | +1.9% |
SAIA has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over SAIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SAIA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $982.5M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $956.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $806.2M | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $790M | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $839.6M | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $817.1M | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $787.6M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $789M | +5% |
SAIA's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $982M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.1% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -4.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.9% | -6.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -2.1 points |
SAIA has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
SAIA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $111.1M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $56.7M | +$60.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $73.5M | +$167.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $37.5M | +$41M |
| Q3 2025 | $87.6M | +$99.2M |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.9M | +$90.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$93.8M | +$256.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.5M | -106% |
SAIA has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SAIA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -18K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +25K shares |
| 3 years | +0.1% | +36K shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +102K shares |
| Available history | +1.4% | +380K shares |
SAIA has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SAIA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
SAIA has more cash than debt.
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
SAIA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SAIA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAIA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SAIA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 24x | 30% above |
| PE % | 52 | 58 | 6 pts below |
SAIA is trading at 31x earnings, a 30% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB has the edge over SAIA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SAIA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $335.8 | 1.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $362.3 | 8.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $379.9 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $357.1 | 7.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $384.1 | 14% below |
SAIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.
SAIA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $92.4 | $185.5 | +101% |
| 2021 | $185.5 | $323.5 | +74% |
| 2022 | $323.5 | $214.4 | -34% |
| 2023 | $214.4 | $438.2 | +104% |
| 2024 | $438.2 | $475.3 | +8.5% |
| 2025 | $475.3 | $331.0 | -30% |
| 2026 YTD | $331.0 | $331.0 | 0% |
SAIA has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.