SAIA

Saia, Inc.

61
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

SAIA's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9.3%, but its operating margin fell 1 points to 11%. At 31x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

SAIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

SAIA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SAIA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x40x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x40x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$217-35%
Forward24x$331—
Fair31x$327-1.3%
Current31x$331—
Expensive39x$415+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAIA's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SAIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SAIA, with profitability improving.

SAIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$501.27
Downside-21%$262.25

Calculated from the latest close: $330.96 on Nov 12.

SAIA's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +51% against −21%.

SAIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.26Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.20Q3 2024: $13.99Q4 2024: $13.51Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $10.83Q3 2025: $10.59Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.52Q2 2026: $10.36Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $13.82
Q4 2023: $13.26Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.20Q3 2024: $13.99Q4 2024: $13.51Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $10.83Q3 2025: $10.59Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.52Q2 2026: $10.36Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $13.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.82+31%
Q3 2026$10.55-0.4%
Q2 2026$10.36-4.3%
Q1 2026$9.52-21%
Q4 2025$9.52-30%
Q3 2025$10.59-24%
Q2 2025$10.83-24%
Q1 2025$11.99-13%
Q4 2024$13.51+1.9%

SAIA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $10.55 over the past year, against $14.20 in mid-2024.

SAIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $751MQ1 2024: $755MQ2 2024: $823MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $789MQ1 2025: $788MQ2 2025: $817MQ3 2025: $840MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $806MQ2 2026: $956MQ3 2026: $982M
Q4 2023: $751MQ1 2024: $755MQ2 2024: $823MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $789MQ1 2025: $788MQ2 2025: $817MQ3 2025: $840MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $806MQ2 2026: $956MQ3 2026: $982M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$982.5M+17%
Q2 2026$956.5M+17%
Q1 2026$806.2M+2.4%
Q4 2025$790M+0.1%
Q3 2025$839.6M-0.3%
Q2 2025$817.1M-0.7%
Q1 2025$787.6M+4.3%
Q4 2024$789M+5%

SAIA's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $982M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

SAIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$351MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$94MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $111M
Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$351MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$94MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $111M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$111.1M+27%
Q2 2026$56.7M+$60.6M
Q1 2026$73.5M+$167.3M
Q4 2025$37.5M+$41M
Q3 2025$87.6M+$99.2M
Q2 2025-$3.9M+$90.1M
Q1 2025-$93.8M+$256.9M
Q4 2024-$3.5M-106%

SAIA's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $279M over the past year.

SAIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-18K shares
1 year+0.1%+25K shares
3 years+0.1%+36K shares
5 years+0.4%+102K shares
Available history+1.4%+380K shares

SAIA has 27M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SAIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

SAIA has more cash than debt.

SAIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.2Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

SAIA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SAIA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSAIASector medianRelative
PE31x24x31% above
PE %52586 pts below

SAIA is trading at 31x earnings, a 31% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SAIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$335.81.5% below
20 week MA$362.38.7% below
50 week MA$379.913% below
100 week MA$357.17.3% below
200 week MA$384.114% below

SAIA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

SAIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.4$185.5+101%
2021$185.5$323.5+74%
2022$323.5$214.4-34%
2023$214.4$438.2+104%
2024$438.2$475.3+8.5%
2025$475.3$331.0-30%
2026 YTD$331.0$331.00%

SAIA has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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