RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

YUMC

Yum China Holdings, Inc.

69
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

YUMC has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

YUMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

YUMC's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

YUMC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x63x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x63x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$49.21—
Current17x$49.21—
Cheap18x$52.36+6.4%
Fair23x$67.05+36%
Expensive32x$92.59+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YUMC's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

YUMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YUMC, with profitability improving.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails YUMC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

YUMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$64.85
Downside-15%$41.73

Calculated from the latest close: $49.21 on Nov 12.

YUMC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

YUMC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.97Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.08Q3 2024: $2.27Q4 2024: $2.33Q1 2025: $2.39Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.41Q4 2025: $2.51Q1 2026: $2.61Q2 2026: $2.73Q3 2026: $2.88Forward: $3.26
Q4 2023: $1.97Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.08Q3 2024: $2.27Q4 2024: $2.33Q1 2025: $2.39Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.41Q4 2025: $2.51Q1 2026: $2.61Q2 2026: $2.73Q3 2026: $2.88Forward: $3.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.26+13%
Q3 2026$2.88+20%
Q2 2026$2.73+13%
Q1 2026$2.61+9.2%
Q4 2025$2.51+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.41+6.2%
Q2 2025$2.42+16%
Q1 2025$2.39+20%
Q4 2024$2.33+18%

YUMC has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

YUMC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.5B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.5B+8.5%
Q2 2026$3.1B+13%
Q1 2026$3.3B+9.7%
Q4 2025$2.8B+8.8%
Q3 2025$3.2B+4.4%
Q2 2025$2.8B+4%
Q1 2025$3B+0.8%
Q4 2024$2.6B+4.1%

YUMC's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.5B last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

YUMC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$72MQ1 2024: $253MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $244MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: $315MQ2 2025: $290MQ3 2025: $351MQ4 2025: −$116MQ1 2026: $406MQ2 2026: $299MQ3 2026: $359M
Q4 2023: −$72MQ1 2024: $253MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $244MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: $315MQ2 2025: $290MQ3 2025: $351MQ4 2025: −$116MQ1 2026: $406MQ2 2026: $299MQ3 2026: $359M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$359M+2.3%
Q2 2026$299M+3.1%
Q1 2026$406M+29%
Q4 2025-$116M-$101M
Q3 2025$351M+44%
Q2 2025$290M+25%
Q1 2025$315M+25%
Q4 2024-$15M+$57M

YUMC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

YUMC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 420MQ1 2024: 403MQ2 2024: 391MQ3 2024: 385MQ4 2024: 390MQ1 2025: 378MQ2 2025: 374MQ3 2025: 369MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 349MQ3 2026: 343M
Q4 2023: 420MQ1 2024: 403MQ2 2024: 391MQ3 2024: 385MQ4 2024: 390MQ1 2025: 378MQ2 2025: 374MQ3 2025: 369MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 349MQ3 2026: 343M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-6M shares
1 year-7%-26M shares
3 years-18%-77M shares
5 years-21%-92M shares
Available history-12%-45M shares

YUMC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

YUMC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

YUMC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

YUMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.0Neutral
Stochastic77.4Neutral

YUMC's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

YUMC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricYUMCSector medianRelative
PE17x18x5.2% below
PE %104737 pts below

YUMC is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

YUMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.810% above
20 week MA$44.810% above
50 week MA$47.14.6% above
100 week MA$46.46.1% above
200 week MA$46.85.2% above

YUMC has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

YUMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.7$57.7+19%
2021$57.7$48.2-16%
2022$48.2$55.6+15%
2023$55.6$42.4-24%
2024$42.4$49.1+16%
2025$49.1$49.1+0.1%
2026 YTD$49.1$49.2+0.1%

YUMC has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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