YUMC
Yum China Holdings, Inc.
YUMC's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 17x earnings, below its usual 23x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
YUMC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
YUMC's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
YUMC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $49.21 | — |
| Current | 17x | $49.21 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $52.36 | +6.4% |
| Fair | 23x | $67.05 | +36% |
| Expensive | 32x | $92.59 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
YUMC's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
YUMC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YUMC, with profitability improving.
YUMC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.26 | +13% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.88 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.73 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.61 | +9.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.51 | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.41 | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.39 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.33 | +18% |
YUMC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.88 over the past year, up 20% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.
YUMC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2B | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8B | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3B | +0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +4.1% |
YUMC's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.5B last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.6% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.8% | +1.4 points |
YUMC's operating margin was 13% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
YUMC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $359M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $299M | +3.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $406M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | -$116M | -$101M |
| Q3 2025 | $351M | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $290M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $315M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | -$15M | +$57M |
YUMC generated $948M in free cash flow over the past year, about the same as the year before.
YUMC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -6M shares |
| 1 year | -7% | -26M shares |
| 3 years | -18% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -92M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -45M shares |
YUMC has 343M diluted shares, down 7% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $263M |
| Q2 2026 | $312M |
| Q1 2026 | $218M |
| Q4 2025 | $452M |
| Q3 2025 | $324M |
| Q2 2025 | $195M |
| Q1 2025 | $173M |
| Q4 2024 | $192M |
YUMC spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 41% from the year before.
YUMC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
YUMC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
YUMC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.4 | Neutral |
YUMC's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
YUMC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | YUMC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 5.2% below |
| PE % | 10 | 47 | 37 pts below |
YUMC is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
YUMC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.8 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $44.8 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $47.1 | 4.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $46.4 | 6.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $46.8 | 5.2% above |
YUMC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 5.2% above its 200-week average.
YUMC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $48.7 | $57.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $57.7 | $48.2 | -16% |
| 2022 | $48.2 | $55.6 | +15% |
| 2023 | $55.6 | $42.4 | -24% |
| 2024 | $42.4 | $49.1 | +16% |
| 2025 | $49.1 | $49.1 | +0.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $49.1 | $49.2 | +0.1% |
YUMC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.