RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
YUM
Yum! Brands, Inc.
YUM has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
YUM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
YUM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
YUM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 13x | $159 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $291 | +83% |
| Forward | 25x | $159 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $332 | +108% |
| Expensive | 30x | $377 | +136% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
YUM's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x, in its fair range.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over YUM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
YUM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect YUM's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
YUM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.47 | -48% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.46 | +143% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.95 | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.20 | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.55 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.13 | -4.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.07 | -7.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.02 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.22 | -6.6% |
YUM has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
YUM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | +3.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B | +6.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +16% |
YUM's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $2.1B last quarter, up 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 113% | +79 points |
| Q2 2026 | 30% | -2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 31% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 34% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | -2.1 points |
YUM has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
YUM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $388M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $407M | +8.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $341M | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $482M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $449M | +7.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $375M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $333M | +6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $407M | +19% |
YUM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
YUM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -2.5% | -7M shares |
| 3 years | -4.2% | -12M shares |
| 5 years | -9.3% | -28M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -39M shares |
YUM has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $528M |
| Q2 2026 | $489M |
| Q1 2026 | $185M |
| Q4 2025 | $178M |
| Q3 2025 | $36M |
| Q2 2025 | $109M |
| Q1 2025 | $229M |
| Q4 2024 | $114M |
YUM spent $1.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 183% from the year before.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
YUM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2x | High |
YUM's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
YUM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.4 | Neutral |
YUM's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
YUM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | YUM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 18x | 29% below |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
YUM is trading at 13x earnings, a 29% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
YUM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $149.5 | 6.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $150.5 | 5.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $153.8 | 3.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $149.6 | 6.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $141.1 | 13% above |
YUM has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
YUM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.9 | $107.5 | +5.5% |
| 2021 | $107.5 | $135.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $135.3 | $128.9 | -4.8% |
| 2023 | $128.9 | $130.7 | +1.4% |
| 2024 | $130.7 | $135.2 | +3.5% |
| 2025 | $135.2 | $153.2 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $153.2 | $159.3 | +4% |
YUM has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.