YUM

Yum! Brands, Inc.

75
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

YUM's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 13x earnings, about half its usual 27x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

YUM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

YUM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

YUM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current13x$159—
Cheap23x$291+83%
Forward25x$159—
Fair27x$332+108%
Expensive30x$377+136%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YUM's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x, in its fair range.

YUM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect YUM's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

YUM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$184.70
Downside-13%$138.86

Calculated from the latest close: $159.34 on Nov 12.

YUM's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +16% against −13%.

YUM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.59Q1 2024: $5.64Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.35Q4 2024: $5.22Q1 2025: $5.02Q2 2025: $5.07Q3 2025: $5.13Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.95Q3 2026: $12.46Forward: $6.48
Q4 2023: $5.59Q1 2024: $5.64Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.35Q4 2024: $5.22Q1 2025: $5.02Q2 2025: $5.07Q3 2025: $5.13Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.95Q3 2026: $12.46Forward: $6.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.48-48%
Q3 2026$12.46+143%
Q2 2026$7.95+57%
Q1 2026$6.20+24%
Q4 2025$5.55+6.3%
Q3 2025$5.13-4.1%
Q2 2025$5.07-7.1%
Q1 2025$5.02-11%
Q4 2024$5.22-6.6%

YUM earned $12.46 per share over the past year, up 143% from the year before.

YUM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+3.8%
Q2 2026$2.2B+12%
Q1 2026$2.1B+15%
Q4 2025$2.5B+6.5%
Q3 2025$2B+8.4%
Q2 2025$1.9B+9.6%
Q1 2025$1.8B+12%
Q4 2024$2.4B+16%

YUM's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $2.1B last quarter, up 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

YUM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $314MQ2 2024: $292MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $449MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $407MQ3 2026: $388M
Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $314MQ2 2024: $292MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $449MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $407MQ3 2026: $388M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$388M-14%
Q2 2026$407M+8.5%
Q1 2026$341M+2.4%
Q4 2025$482M+18%
Q3 2025$449M+7.2%
Q2 2025$375M+28%
Q1 2025$333M+6.1%
Q4 2024$407M+19%

YUM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.6B over the past year, up 3.5% from the year before.

YUM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 285MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 286MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 281MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 279MQ2 2026: 277MQ3 2026: 274M
Q4 2023: 285MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 286MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 281MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 279MQ2 2026: 277MQ3 2026: 274M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-3M shares
1 year-2.5%-7M shares
3 years-4.2%-12M shares
5 years-9.3%-28M shares
Available history-12%-39M shares

YUM has 274M diluted shares, down 2.5% from a year ago, with $1.4B in buybacks over the past year.

YUM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20254.4xHigh
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

YUM's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.

YUM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic72.4Neutral

YUM's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

YUM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricYUMSector medianRelative
PE13x18x29% below
PE %04747 pts below

YUM is trading at 13x earnings, a 29% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

YUM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$149.56.6% above
20 week MA$150.55.9% above
50 week MA$153.83.6% above
100 week MA$149.66.5% above
200 week MA$141.113% above

YUM is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% above its 200-week average.

YUM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.9$107.5+5.5%
2021$107.5$135.3+26%
2022$135.3$128.9-4.8%
2023$128.9$130.7+1.4%
2024$130.7$135.2+3.5%
2025$135.2$153.2+13%
2026 YTD$153.2$159.3+4%

YUM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key