RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over THRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

THRM

Gentherm Incorporated

39
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

THRM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

THRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

THRM's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$28.79—
Cheap24x$6.79-76%
Fair36x$10.21-65%
Expensive62x$17.38-40%
Current103x$28.79—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

THRM's PE is in its expensive range at 103x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over THRM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

THRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for THRM, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than THRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

THRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$31.26
Downside-52%$13.87

Calculated from the latest close: $28.79 on Nov 12.

THRM trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

THRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.22Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.99Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.28Forward: $2.82
Q4 2023: $1.22Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.99Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.28Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82+907%
Q3 2026$0.28-72%
Q2 2026$0.85-16%
Q1 2026$0.73-54%
Q4 2025$0.59-71%
Q3 2025$0.99-54%
Q2 2025$1.01-52%
Q1 2025$1.59+9.7%
Q4 2024$2.06+69%

THRM has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over THRM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $416MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $416MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$405.1M+4.7%
Q2 2026$416.2M+11%
Q1 2026$393.7M+11%
Q4 2025$382.8M+8.5%
Q3 2025$386.9M+4.1%
Q2 2025$375.1M-0.2%
Q1 2025$353.9M-0.6%
Q4 2024$352.9M-3.8%

THRM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $405M last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

THRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.4M-45%
Q2 2026-$1.2M-103%
Q1 2026-$10.7M+$17.5M
Q4 2025$6.7M-51%
Q3 2025$46.5M+75%
Q2 2025$36.2M+104%
Q1 2025-$28.2M-$6.6M
Q4 2024$13.6M-52%

THRM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

THRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-382K shares
1 year-0.2%-76K shares
3 years-7.6%-2.5M shares
5 years-8.7%-2.9M shares
Available history-7.9%-2.6M shares

THRM has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

THRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

THRM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

THRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic23.1Neutral

THRM's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THRM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTHRMSector medianRelative
PE103x18x471% above
PE %964749 pts above

THRM is trading at 103x earnings, a 471% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

THRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.45.2% below
20 week MA$35.719% below
50 week MA$34.116% below
100 week MA$33.414% below
200 week MA$43.333% below

THRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

THRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.3$66.0+49%
2021$66.0$82.4+25%
2022$82.4$63.8-23%
2023$63.8$52.4-18%
2024$52.4$39.0-25%
2025$39.0$37.2-4.7%
2026 YTD$37.2$28.8-23%

THRM has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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