THRM

Gentherm Incorporated

39
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

THRM's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 103x earnings, about three times its usual 37x. Its downside scenario is about six times its upside.

THRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

THRM's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

THRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$28.79—
Cheap24x$6.79-76%
Fair36x$10.21-65%
Expensive62x$17.38-40%
Current103x$28.79—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

THRM's PE is in its expensive range at 103x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

THRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for THRM, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

THRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$31.26
Downside-52%$13.87

Calculated from the latest close: $28.79 on Nov 12.

THRM's one-year downside scenario is about six times its upside: −52% against +8.6%.

THRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.22Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.99Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.28Forward: $2.82
Q4 2023: $1.22Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.99Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.28Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82+907%
Q3 2026$0.28-72%
Q2 2026$0.85-16%
Q1 2026$0.73-54%
Q4 2025$0.59-71%
Q3 2025$0.99-54%
Q2 2025$1.01-52%
Q1 2025$1.59+9.7%
Q4 2024$2.06+69%

THRM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.28 over the past year, against $3.50 in mid-2021.

THRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $416MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $416MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$405.1M+4.7%
Q2 2026$416.2M+11%
Q1 2026$393.7M+11%
Q4 2025$382.8M+8.5%
Q3 2025$386.9M+4.1%
Q2 2025$375.1M-0.2%
Q1 2025$353.9M-0.6%
Q4 2024$352.9M-3.8%

THRM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $405M last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

THRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.4M-45%
Q2 2026-$1.2M-103%
Q1 2026-$10.7M+$17.5M
Q4 2025$6.7M-51%
Q3 2025$46.5M+75%
Q2 2025$36.2M+104%
Q1 2025-$28.2M-$6.6M
Q4 2024$13.6M-52%

THRM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $20M over the past year.

THRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-382K shares
1 year-0.2%-76K shares
3 years-7.6%-2.5M shares
5 years-8.7%-2.9M shares
Available history-7.9%-2.6M shares

THRM has 31M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

THRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

THRM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

THRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic23.1Neutral

THRM's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

THRM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTHRMSector medianRelative
PE103x18x471% above
PE %964749 pts above

THRM is trading at 103x earnings, a 471% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

THRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.45.2% below
20 week MA$35.719% below
50 week MA$34.116% below
100 week MA$33.414% below
200 week MA$43.333% below

THRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

THRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.3$66.0+49%
2021$66.0$82.4+25%
2022$82.4$63.8-23%
2023$63.8$52.4-18%
2024$52.4$39.0-25%
2025$39.0$37.2-4.7%
2026 YTD$37.2$28.8-23%

THRM has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 23% so far in 2026.

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