RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
SBUX has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SBUX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SBUX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SBUX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 25x | $54.72 | -49% |
| Fair | 32x | $71.35 | -33% |
| Forward | 33x | $107 | — |
| Current | 49x | $107 | — |
| Expensive | 78x | $172 | +60% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SBUX's PE is in its expensive range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over SBUX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SBUX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SBUX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
SBUX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.23 | +46% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.21 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.73 | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.31 | -53% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.20 | -61% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.63 | -51% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.32 | -35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.76 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.10 | -17% |
SBUX has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over SBUX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
SBUX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.1B | -4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.3B | -1.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.5B | +8.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.9B | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.6B | +5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.5B | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.4B | -0.3% |
SBUX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $9.1B last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +7.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9% | -3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9% | -12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.9% | -6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9% | -6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | -3.8 points |
SBUX has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
SBUX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +211% |
| Q1 2026 | $91.8M | +$389M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $925.8M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $434.3M | -54% |
| Q1 2025 | -$297.2M | -$144.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -23% |
SBUX has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SBUX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -400K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +3.6M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -7.9M shares |
| 5 years | -3.6% | -42.1M shares |
| Available history | -4% | -47.6M shares |
SBUX has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $1.3B |
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SBUX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 1.8x | Healthy |
SBUX's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
SBUX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.9 | Neutral |
SBUX's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SBUX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SBUX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 18x | 169% above |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
SBUX is trading at 49x earnings, a 169% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
SBUX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $99.4 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $102.3 | 4.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $98.4 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $94.8 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $94.9 | 13% above |
SBUX has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
SBUX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $88.1 | $102.0 | +16% |
| 2021 | $102.0 | $112.4 | +10% |
| 2022 | $112.4 | $98.3 | -13% |
| 2023 | $98.3 | $96.0 | -2.3% |
| 2024 | $96.0 | $92.3 | -3.9% |
| 2025 | $92.3 | $85.1 | -7.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.1 | $107.3 | +26% |
SBUX has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.