SBUX

Starbucks Corporation

62
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

SBUX's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 49x earnings, above its usual 33x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

SBUX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SBUX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

SBUX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE55x110x165x220x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE55x110x165x220x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$54.72-49%
Fair32x$71.35-33%
Forward33x$107—
Current49x$107—
Expensive78x$172+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBUX's PE is in its expensive range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SBUX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect SBUX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SBUX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$145.25
Downside-11%$94.95

Calculated from the latest close: $107.26 on Nov 12.

SBUX's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +35% against −11%.

SBUX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.74Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.57Q3 2024: $3.31Q4 2024: $3.10Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $3.23
Q4 2023: $3.74Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.57Q3 2024: $3.31Q4 2024: $3.10Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $3.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.23+46%
Q3 2026$2.21+36%
Q2 2026$1.73-25%
Q1 2026$1.31-53%
Q4 2025$1.20-61%
Q3 2025$1.63-51%
Q2 2025$2.32-35%
Q1 2025$2.76-24%
Q4 2024$3.10-17%

SBUX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.21 over the past year, against $3.74 in late 2023.

SBUX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.1BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $8.8BQ2 2025: $9.5BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $9.5BQ2 2026: $9.3BQ3 2026: $9.1B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.1BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $8.8BQ2 2025: $9.5BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $9.5BQ2 2026: $9.3BQ3 2026: $9.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.1B-4.5%
Q2 2026$9.3B-1.4%
Q1 2026$9.5B+8.8%
Q4 2025$9.9B+5.5%
Q3 2025$9.6B+5.5%
Q2 2025$9.5B+3.8%
Q1 2025$8.8B+2.3%
Q4 2024$9.4B-0.3%

SBUX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $9.1B last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

SBUX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$153MQ2 2024: $946MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: $434MQ3 2025: $926MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$153MQ2 2024: $946MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: $434MQ3 2025: $926MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1B+8.9%
Q2 2026$1.4B+211%
Q1 2026$91.8M+$389M
Q4 2025$1.3B-7.6%
Q3 2025$925.8M+26%
Q2 2025$434.3M-54%
Q1 2025-$297.2M-$144.1M
Q4 2024$1.4B-23%

SBUX generated $3.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 53% from the year before.

SBUX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-400K shares
1 year+0.3%+3.6M shares
3 years-0.7%-7.9M shares
5 years-3.6%-42.1M shares
Available history-4%-47.6M shares

SBUX has 1.1B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SBUX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

SBUX's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

SBUX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic75.9Neutral

SBUX's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

SBUX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSBUXSector medianRelative
PE49x18x169% above
PE %704723 pts above

SBUX is trading at 49x earnings, a 169% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SBUX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.47.9% above
20 week MA$102.34.8% above
50 week MA$98.49% above
100 week MA$94.813% above
200 week MA$94.913% above

SBUX has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 13% above its 200-week average.

SBUX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.1$102.0+16%
2021$102.0$112.4+10%
2022$112.4$98.3-13%
2023$98.3$96.0-2.3%
2024$96.0$92.3-3.9%
2025$92.3$85.1-7.8%
2026 YTD$85.1$107.3+26%

SBUX has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 26% so far in 2026.

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