RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SAH
Sonic Automotive, Inc.
SAH has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SAH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
SAH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.7x | $35.57 | -41% |
| Forward | 9.1x | $60.18 | — |
| Current | 9.6x | $60.18 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $66.57 | +11% |
| Expensive | 18x | $110 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SAH's PE is in its fair range at 9.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over SAH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
SAH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SAH's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
SAH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.62 | +6% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.25 | +69% |
SAH has the edge over RIVN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over SAH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
SAH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.9B | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.7B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9B | -0.6% |
SAH's revenue has held roughly level: $4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.4% | +4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | N/A |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4% | N/A |
SAH has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
SAH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$217.8M | -312% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5M | -101% |
| Q4 2025 | $329.4M | -22% |
SAH and RIVN do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SAH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -5.6% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -2M shares |
SAH has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $135.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $126.5M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $8.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $35.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $61.5M |
SAH spent $269M buying back its own shares over the past year.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SAH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
SAH's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
SAH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.4 | Oversold |
SAH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SAH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.6x | 18x | 47% below |
| PE % | 36 | 47 | 11 pts below |
SAH is trading at 9.6x earnings, a 47% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
SAH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.3 | 3.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $75.5 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $71.5 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $70.8 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $62.2 | 3.3% below |
SAH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 3.3% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.
SAH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.6 | $38.2 | +25% |
| 2021 | $38.2 | $48.3 | +27% |
| 2022 | $48.3 | $47.5 | -1.8% |
| 2023 | $47.5 | $56.2 | +18% |
| 2024 | $56.2 | $63.6 | +13% |
| 2025 | $63.6 | $64.3 | +1.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $64.3 | $60.2 | -6.4% |
SAH has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.