SAH

Sonic Automotive, Inc.

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SAH's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 40%, but free cash flow fell 66%. At 9.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SAH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

SAH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SAH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$35.86-40%
Forward9.1x$60.18—
Current9.6x$60.18—
Fair11x$67.10+11%
Expensive18x$111+85%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAH's PE is in its fair range at 9.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings.

SAH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SAH's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

SAH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$78.03
Downside-20%$48.40

Calculated from the latest close: $60.18 on Nov 12.

SAH's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +30% against −20%.

SAH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.81Q4 2023: $4.97Q1 2024: $4.88Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $5.62Q4 2024: $6.18Q1 2025: $7.02Q2 2025: $4.50Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.17Q2 2026: $6.30Forward: $6.62
Q3 2023: $-0.81Q4 2023: $4.97Q1 2024: $4.88Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $5.62Q4 2024: $6.18Q1 2025: $7.02Q2 2025: $4.50Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.17Q2 2026: $6.30Forward: $6.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.62+5.2%
Q2 2026$6.30+40%
Q1 2026$3.17-55%
Q4 2025$3.42-45%
Q3 2025$3.70-34%
Q2 2025$4.50-17%
Q1 2025$7.02+44%
Q4 2024$6.18+24%
Q3 2024$5.62+$6.43

SAH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.30 over the past year, against $9.14 in early 2022.

SAH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.6BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.9B
Q3 2023: $3.6BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.9B+7.6%
Q1 2026$3.7B+1%
Q4 2025$3.9B-0.6%
Q3 2025$4B+14%
Q2 2025$3.7B+5.9%
Q1 2025$3.7B+7.9%
Q4 2024$3.9B+8.7%
Q3 2024$3.5B-4.2%

SAH's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $3.9B last quarter, up 7.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SAH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $45MQ4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: −$185MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $421MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$218M
Q3 2023: $45MQ4 2023: $237MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: −$185MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $421MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$218M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$217.8M-312%
Q1 2026-$1.5M-101%
Q4 2025$329.4M-22%
Q3 2025$134.4M+290%
Q2 2025$102.7M+$287.9M
Q1 2025$150.8M+473%
Q4 2024$420.9M+77%
Q3 2024$34.5M-23%

SAH usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$218M, but it generated $245M over the past year.

SAH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 36MQ4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 32M
Q3 2023: 36MQ4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-5.9%-2M shares
3 years-11%-3.9M shares
5 years-26%-11.3M shares
Available history-27%-12.1M shares

SAH has 32M diluted shares, down 5.9% from a year ago, with $269M in buybacks over the past year.

SAH Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.2xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 2.6x
Q3 2023: 5.2xQ4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate
Q3 20242.9xModerate

SAH's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SAH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.2Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

SAH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SAH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSAHSector medianRelative
PE9.6x18x47% below
PE %364711 pts below

SAH is trading at 9.6x earnings, a 47% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SAH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.33.4% below
20 week MA$75.520% below
50 week MA$71.516% below
100 week MA$70.815% below
200 week MA$62.23.3% below

SAH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 3.3% below its 200-week average.

SAH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.6$38.2+25%
2021$38.2$48.3+27%
2022$48.3$47.5-1.8%
2023$47.5$56.2+18%
2024$56.2$63.6+13%
2025$63.6$64.3+1.1%
2026 YTD$64.3$60.2-6.4%

SAH has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 6.4% so far in 2026.

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