RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ROST

Ross Stores, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

ROST has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ROST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$178-25%
Fair25x$210-12%
Forward27x$237—
Current29x$237—
Expensive35x$286+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROST's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ROST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ROST, with profitability improving.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails ROST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$291.87
Downside-10%$212.96

Calculated from the latest close: $237.24 on Nov 12.

ROST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

ROST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.78+6.3%
Q3 2026$8.26+31%
Q2 2026$7.16+13%
Q1 2026$6.61+4.6%
Q4 2025$6.40+0.8%
Q3 2025$6.30+1.6%
Q2 2025$6.33+6.7%
Q1 2025$6.32+14%
Q4 2024$6.35+26%

ROST has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over ROST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ROST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+13%
Q2 2026$6B+21%
Q1 2026$6.6B+12%
Q4 2025$5.6B+10%
Q3 2025$5.5B+4.6%
Q2 2025$5B+2.6%
Q1 2025$5.9B-1.8%
Q4 2024$5.1B+3%

ROST's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $6.3B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

ROST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$624.5M+34%
Q2 2026$627.1M+210%
Q1 2026$920.8M+36%
Q4 2025$617.8M+86%
Q3 2025$466.6M+18%
Q2 2025$202.3M-13%
Q1 2025$676.6M-6.9%
Q4 2024$333M+22%

ROST has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

ROST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.6%-5.3M shares
3 years-5.5%-18.5M shares
5 years-10%-35.5M shares
Available history-11%-39.8M shares

ROST has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ROST has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ROST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

ROST's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricROSTSector medianRelative
PE29x18x59% above
PE %684721 pts above

ROST is trading at 29x earnings, a 59% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

ROST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$231.22.6% above
20 week MA$233.31.7% above
50 week MA$218.38.7% above
100 week MA$181.331% above
200 week MA$155.353% above

ROST has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

ROST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$115.0$118.0+2.7%
2021$118.0$110.2-6.7%
2022$110.2$115.5+4.8%
2023$115.5$138.4+20%
2024$138.4$153.0+11%
2025$153.0$181.1+18%
2026 YTD$181.1$237.2+31%

ROST has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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