RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RL

Ralph Lauren Corporation

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

RL has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$252-35%
Fair19x$336-14%
Forward19x$391—
Current22x$391—
Expensive25x$438+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails RL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$511.86
Downside-14%$334.14

Calculated from the latest close: $390.80 on Nov 12.

RL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

RL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.24+16%
Q3 2026$17.42+29%
Q2 2026$15.87+27%
Q1 2026$15.11+30%
Q4 2025$14.69+34%
Q3 2025$13.53+29%
Q2 2025$12.52+21%
Q1 2025$11.61+20%
Q4 2024$10.95+24%

RL has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

RL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+9.1%
Q2 2026$2B+14%
Q1 2026$2B+17%
Q4 2025$2.4B+12%
Q3 2025$2B+16%
Q2 2025$1.7B+14%
Q1 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q4 2024$2.1B+11%

RL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

RL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$218.1M+$258.7M
Q2 2026$285.9M+$297.1M
Q1 2026$145.3M+243%
Q4 2025$704M+4%
Q3 2025-$40.6M-173%
Q2 2025-$11.2M-105%
Q1 2025$42.3M-48%
Q4 2024$677.2M+20%

RL has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

RL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-400K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.5M shares
3 years-9.4%-6.3M shares
5 years-19%-14.4M shares
Available history-20%-14.9M shares

RL has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

RL has more cash than debt.

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic68.3Neutral

RL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRLSector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %664719 pts above

RL is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

RL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.93.7% above
20 week MA$373.94.5% above
50 week MA$368.26.1% above
100 week MA$321.322% above
200 week MA$235.666% above

RL has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

RL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$117.4$100.9-14%
2021$100.9$112.1+11%
2022$112.1$104.4-6.9%
2023$104.4$144.2+38%
2024$144.2$229.6+59%
2025$229.6$358.1+56%
2026 YTD$358.1$390.8+9.1%

RL has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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