RL

Ralph Lauren Corporation

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

RL's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 13% and it turned 16% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 22x earnings, it's trading above its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

RL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$252-35%
Fair19x$336-14%
Forward19x$391—
Current22x$391—
Expensive25x$438+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$511.86
Downside-14%$334.14

Calculated from the latest close: $390.80 on Nov 12.

RL's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +31% against −14%.

RL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.24+16%
Q3 2026$17.42+29%
Q2 2026$15.87+27%
Q1 2026$15.11+30%
Q4 2025$14.69+34%
Q3 2025$13.53+29%
Q2 2025$12.52+21%
Q1 2025$11.61+20%
Q4 2024$10.95+24%

RL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.42 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

RL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+9.1%
Q2 2026$2B+14%
Q1 2026$2B+17%
Q4 2025$2.4B+12%
Q3 2025$2B+16%
Q2 2025$1.7B+14%
Q1 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q4 2024$2.1B+11%

RL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$218.1M+$258.7M
Q2 2026$285.9M+$297.1M
Q1 2026$145.3M+243%
Q4 2025$704M+4%
Q3 2025-$40.6M-173%
Q2 2025-$11.2M-105%
Q1 2025$42.3M-48%
Q4 2024$677.2M+20%

RL generated $1.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 103% from the year before.

RL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-400K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.5M shares
3 years-9.4%-6.3M shares
5 years-19%-14.4M shares
Available history-20%-14.9M shares

RL has 61M diluted shares, down 2.4% from a year ago, with $815M in buybacks over the past year.

RL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

RL has more cash than debt.

RL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic68.3Neutral

RL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

RL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRLSector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %664719 pts above

RL is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.93.7% above
20 week MA$373.94.5% above
50 week MA$368.26.1% above
100 week MA$321.322% above
200 week MA$235.666% above

RL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 66% above its 200-week average.

RL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$117.4$100.9-14%
2021$100.9$112.1+11%
2022$112.1$104.4-6.9%
2023$104.4$144.2+38%
2024$144.2$229.6+59%
2025$229.6$358.1+56%
2026 YTD$358.1$390.8+9.1%

RL has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 9.1% so far in 2026.

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