REAL

The RealReal, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

REAL has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

REAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Strong

REAL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

REAL PE Valuation

REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

REAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

REAL has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

REAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$21.59
Downside-33%$9.60

Calculated from the latest close: $14.31 on Nov 12.

REAL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails REAL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

REAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.65Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-0.91Q3 2024: $-0.86Q4 2024: $-1.24Q1 2025: $-1.08Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-1.33Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-1.00Q2 2026: $-1.10Q3 2026: $-0.65Forward: $0.27
Q4 2023: $-1.65Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-0.91Q3 2024: $-0.86Q4 2024: $-1.24Q1 2025: $-1.08Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-1.33Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-1.00Q2 2026: $-1.10Q3 2026: $-0.65Forward: $0.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.27—
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.68
Q2 2026-$1.10-$0.09
Q1 2026-$1.00+$0.08
Q4 2025-$1.07+$0.17
Q3 2025-$1.33-$0.47
Q2 2025-$1.01-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.08+$0.04
Q4 2024-$1.24+$0.41

REAL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $2.61 at its worst in late 2021.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over REAL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

REAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $143MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $164MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $165MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $190MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $206M
Q4 2023: $143MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $164MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $165MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $190MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$206.1M+19%
Q2 2026$192.6M+17%
Q1 2026$189.7M+19%
Q4 2025$194.1M+18%
Q3 2025$173.6M+17%
Q2 2025$165.2M+14%
Q1 2025$160M+11%
Q4 2024$164M+14%

REAL has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

REAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: −$33MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: −$33MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.3M-9.3%
Q2 2026-$2.4M+$9M
Q1 2026-$24.1M+$8.9M
Q4 2025$45.8M+100%
Q3 2025$16.9M+235%
Q2 2025-$11.4M-$1.6M
Q1 2025-$33M-$27.4M
Q4 2024$22.9M+233%

REAL has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

REAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 121MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 117MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 126MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 128M
Q4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 121MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 117MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 126MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 128M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.9%+7.1M shares
1 year+9.7%+11.4M shares
3 years+25%+25.5M shares
5 years+40%+36.3M shares
Available history+48%+41.6M shares

REAL has 128M diluted shares, up 9.7% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over REAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

REAL Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash

REAL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over REAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

REAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.0Neutral
Stochastic77.6Neutral

REAL's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

REAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

REAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.030% above
20 week MA$11.030% above
50 week MA$11.623% above
100 week MA$9.7547% above
200 week MA$6.17132% above

REAL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 132% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

REAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.3$20.3+11%
2021$20.3$11.7-42%
2022$11.7$1.10-91%
2023$1.10$2.01+83%
2024$2.01$10.9+440%
2025$10.9$16.2+49%
2026 YTD$16.2$14.3-12%

REAL has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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