REAL
The RealReal, Inc.
REAL has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
REAL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
REAL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
REAL PE Valuation
REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REAL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for REAL, with profitability improving.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
REAL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.27 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.65 | +$0.68 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.10 | -$0.09 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.00 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.07 | +$0.17 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.33 | -$0.47 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.01 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.08 | +$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.24 | +$0.41 |
REAL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $2.61 at its worst in late 2021.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over REAL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
REAL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $206.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $192.6M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $189.7M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $194.1M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $173.6M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $165.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $160M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $164M | +14% |
REAL's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $206M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +6.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | +6.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.3% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -6% | +7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8% | +4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.1% | +12 points |
REAL has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
REAL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.3M | -9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.4M | +$9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$24.1M | +$8.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8M | +100% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.9M | +235% |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.4M | -$1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$33M | -$27.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $22.9M | +233% |
REAL has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
REAL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.9% | +7.1M shares |
| 1 year | +9.7% | +11.4M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +25.5M shares |
| 5 years | +40% | +36.3M shares |
| Available history | +48% | +41.6M shares |
REAL has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
REAL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
REAL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
REAL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.6 | Neutral |
REAL's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
REAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REAL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.0 | 30% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.0 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.6 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.75 | 47% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.17 | 132% above |
REAL has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
REAL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.3 | $20.3 | +11% |
| 2021 | $20.3 | $11.7 | -42% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $1.10 | -91% |
| 2023 | $1.10 | $2.01 | +83% |
| 2024 | $2.01 | $10.9 | +440% |
| 2025 | $10.9 | $16.2 | +49% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.2 | $14.3 | -12% |
REAL has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.