RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
VMI
Valmont Industries, Inc.
VMI has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VMI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
VMI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VMI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 16x | $423 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $423 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $510 | +21% |
| Fair | 26x | $711 | +68% |
| Expensive | 34x | $911 | +116% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VMI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
VMI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VMI, with profitability improving.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
VMI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $25.44 | -5.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $26.91 | +132% |
| Q2 2026 | $25.65 | +139% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.98 | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.79 | -2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.62 | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.75 | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.19 | +125% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.19 | +154% |
VMI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VMI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +6.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +2.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $969.3M | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +2.1% |
VMI's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.8% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +5.3 points |
VMI has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
VMI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $54.9M | -22% |
| Q2 2026 | $112.2M | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.9M | +98% |
| Q4 2025 | $70.4M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $70.6M | -66% |
| Q2 2025 | $135.6M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $34.8M | +318% |
| Q4 2024 | $167.8M | +86% |
VMI has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VMI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -129K shares |
| 1 year | -2.4% | -485K shares |
| 3 years | -9.9% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | -9.5% | -2M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -2.4M shares |
VMI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $60M |
| Q1 2026 | $57.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $72.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $25.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $15M |
| Q3 2024 | $40.1M |
| Q4 2023 | $178.6M |
VMI spent $272M buying back its own shares over the past year.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VMI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
VMI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
VMI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.5 | Oversold |
VMI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VMI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VMI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 24x | 35% below |
| PE % | 5 | 58 | 53 pts below |
VMI is trading at 16x earnings, a 35% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
VMI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $442.8 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $476.7 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $467.5 | 9.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $405.4 | 4.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $336.6 | 26% above |
VMI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over VMI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VMI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $150.4 | $172.1 | +14% |
| 2021 | $172.1 | $244.8 | +42% |
| 2022 | $244.8 | $335.1 | +37% |
| 2023 | $335.1 | $233.5 | -30% |
| 2024 | $233.5 | $306.5 | +31% |
| 2025 | $306.5 | $412.2 | +34% |
| 2026 YTD | $412.2 | $422.7 | +2.5% |
VMI has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 2.5% so far in 2026.