RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SWK

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

69
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SWK has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SWK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

SWK's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SWK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$78.98-30%
Current20x$113—
Fair22x$121+7.1%
Expensive30x$169+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWK's PE is in its fair range at 20x.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

SWK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SWK to show an outlook.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails SWK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SWK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$154.08
Downside-14%$96.88

Calculated from the latest close: $113.02 on Nov 12.

SWK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

SWK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$5.59+93%
Q2 2026$4.10+30%
Q1 2026$2.44+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.65+36%
Q3 2025$2.90+$4.26
Q2 2025$3.16+$5.09
Q1 2025$2.42+$3.10
Q4 2024$1.95+$4.02

SWK has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over SWK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-0.6%
Q2 2026$4B+0.4%
Q1 2026$3.8B+2.7%
Q4 2025$3.7B-1%
Q3 2025$3.8B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.9B-2%
Q1 2025$3.7B-3.2%
Q4 2024$3.7B-0.4%

SWK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

SWK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$585M+277%
Q2 2026$698.2M+418%
Q1 2026-$447.3M+$37.7M
Q4 2025$882.9M+56%
Q3 2025$155.3M-22%
Q2 2025$134.7M-72%
Q1 2025-$485M+$11.7M
Q4 2024$564.6M-13%

SWK has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

SWK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2M shares
1 year-2.2%-3.3M shares
3 years-1.3%-1.9M shares
5 years-10%-16.7M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.9M shares

SWK has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SWK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20268.4xHigh
Q4 20257.1xHigh
Q3 20259.2xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20254.4xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

SWK's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 9.2 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SWK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.0Overbought
Stochastic81.3Overbought

SWK's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SWK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSWKSector medianRelative
PE20x24x16% below
PE %435815 pts below

SWK is trading at 20x earnings, a 16% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

SWK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.314% above
20 week MA$96.517% above
50 week MA$85.932% above
100 week MA$79.642% above
200 week MA$84.833% above

SWK has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

SWK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$165.9$179.9+8.5%
2021$179.9$182.2+1.3%
2022$182.2$73.9-59%
2023$73.9$98.1+33%
2024$98.1$80.6-18%
2025$80.6$75.4-6.5%
2026 YTD$75.4$113.0+50%

SWK has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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