RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over SWBI overall, supported by stronger valuation.
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
SWBI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SWBI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SWBI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SWBI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.3x | $2.38 | -85% |
| Fair | 17x | $9.35 | -40% |
| Current | 28x | $15.57 | — |
| Forward | 28x | $15.57 | — |
| Expensive | 36x | $19.91 | +28% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SWBI's PE is in its expensive range at 28.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27.8x.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
SWBI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SWBI, with profitability improving.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
SWBI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.56 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.55 | +104% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.41 | +37% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.26 | -60% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.22 | -72% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.27 | -64% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.30 | -65% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.65 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.78 | +22% |
SWBI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over SWBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SWBI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.6M | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $178.4M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $135.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $124.7M | -3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $85.1M | -3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $140.8M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $115.9M | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $129.7M | +3.8% |
SWBI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $113M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.4% | +2.4 points |
SWBI has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
SWBI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$20.8M | -$8.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $69.7M | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.8M | +$33M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.3M | +$27M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12.4M | +$23.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $33.5M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | -$16.1M | -325% |
| Q4 2024 | -$10.7M | +$27.1M |
SWBI has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SWBI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +494K shares |
| 1 year | +2.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -690K shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -10.2M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -9.9M shares |
SWBI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $2.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.8M |
| Q3 2024 | $12.9M |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SWBI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
SWBI has more cash than debt.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
SWBI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.3 | Neutral |
SWBI's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SWBI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SWBI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 24x | 18% above |
| PE % | 71 | 58 | 13 pts above |
SWBI is trading at 28x earnings, a 18% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
SWBI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.2 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.2 | 9.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $13.6 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.5 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $12.5 | 24% above |
SWBI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
SWBI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.08 | $18.0 | +154% |
| 2021 | $18.0 | $17.6 | -2.3% |
| 2022 | $17.6 | $8.72 | -50% |
| 2023 | $8.72 | $13.6 | +56% |
| 2024 | $13.6 | $9.94 | -27% |
| 2025 | $9.94 | $9.99 | +0.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.99 | $15.6 | +56% |
SWBI has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.